Zero asked me to prepare a prediction quiz for the biggest show of the year, and I was happy to oblige.
The time is nearly upon us. Nintendo will be taking two hours on June 15th, 9am PST, to unveil their future offerings that are highly likely to include a lavish new Zelda game and a very fancy new portable system. But how well do you know your Nintendo stuff?
Choose as many statements as you like (eg. A01, A03, A09, A13, B02, B03, B04, C5... etc.)
They're split into four groups depending on how likely they are. You'll either win or lose those points depending on how the show plays out. Too many wrong guesses and you'll end up with a negative score!
As this is an official quiz this time around there will be XP to play for too. Every point of your final score will count as 1000XP. This might sound generous but the victor in the Fall Media Summit quiz was jacksrb with +10 points, so it's not as easy as it sounds. However, the top three predictors will also get a big XP boost, so there's plenty to play for.
Please post your predictions by the end of the 14th!
If there are any solid leaks in advance of the show, those statements will be locked down so it might help to get your guesses in early.
A) Most Likely : 2pts
01) Zelda trailer!
02) Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled
03) Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate
04) 3DS is shown in action
05) 3DS is officially... "Nintendo 3DS"
06) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is an enhanced remake
07) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP
08) 3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature
09) Epic Mickey first footage
10) The Last Story first footage
11) Xenoblade confirmed for US release
12) 1 new WM+ Nintendo game revealed
13) Retro's game not mentionned
14) Project Sora's game not mentionned
15) A new Mario game is announced
16) Level-5's Time Travellers confirmed for 3DS
B) Maybe : 4pts
01) New Zelda features Mii's in a major way
02) New Zelda features Mii's in a minor way
03) Zelda Wii playable on the show floor
04) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a new IP
05) 3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season
06) 3DS playable on the show floor
07) 3DS priced under $200
08) 3D movies to be sold in 3DS format
09) Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch
10) Xenoblade playable for the first time
11) Epic Mickey playable
12) Zelda confirmed for 2010
13) At least one new 3rd party Vitality sensor game
Some of these are open for interpretation (what qualifies as the "main" launch game for 3DS, what "as powerful as" means), so maybe you should make those a little clearer. If you feel like it, of course.
I'll stew these over and hopefully get my choices in before the big show.
A01, A02, A03, A04, A07, A08, A09, A12 B01, B03, B06, B09, B11, B12, B14, B15, B21, B23, B26 C15 Bonus prediction: Kirby 3DS I'm being conservative this time around, at the media summit I got burned pretty bad. Though I am really tempted to predict D09. It would make perfect sense what with Iwata's comments about Apple being competition.
Bonus prediction: Tennis 3DS (either Mario or Mii-like)
A01 Zelda trailer! A02 Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled A03 Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate A04 3DS is shown in action A05 3DS is officially... "Nintendo 3DS" A07 Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP A08 3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature A09 Epic Mickey first footage A10 The Last Story first footage A11 Xenoblade confirmed for US release A12 1 new WM+ Nintendo game revealed A14 Project Sora's game not mentionned A15 A new Mario game is announced
B05 3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season B06 3DS playable on the show floor B07 3DS priced under $200 B08 3D movies to be sold in 3DS format B09 Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch B10 Xenoblade playable for the first time B11 Epic Mickey playable B13 At least one new 3rd party Vitality sensor game B14 Vitality Sensor used in a 'core' game B15 Retro's new game named B21 Next Level Games' (Mario Strikers/PunchOut) next project revealed B23 Wii Music+ is announced B26 Mario Kart for 3DS B28 Wario Ware 3D
C01 Pikmin 3 trailer C04 Nintendo announces a new close-relationship with a major 3rd party C05 New Zelda is Mii-free outside of menus C15 No substantial info on Wii's successor C18 New game from Intelligent Systems is announced C27 Zelda bumped in 2011
D03 Pikmin 3 playable on the show floor D08 WiiHD system upgrade [GRIPTOR SEZ: more like Wii+, not necessarily WiiHD]
I will promptly prepare for disappointment. WOOOOOOOOOO!
Too late to implement this now, but maybe next time, everyone could write their answer to the bonus question in Spoiler text (honor system would apply) and the 10 points would be split between everyone who had it correctly guessed. So you would pick something obvious at your own risk and guessing something that no one else did could get you more points.
The bonus prediction is the one thing I didn't run past Zero, but I figured that as with all the other statements it's a win/lose situation. That's why it's optional. By all means go ahead and edit it out now if you like.
Griptor, think of the 10pt prediction as a gamble. If you think Mario Kart 3DS will show up then you can either be tentative and say B26, or you can go all out and also make it your 10pt prediction.
Yes, it's all wonderfully, needlessly complicated! (although I think it makes sense, just about )
Jargon, it's hard to be any clearer about the definition of "main game" on the 3DS or whether it's hardware power is literally 360 or PS3 level. We'll have to make a judgement call based on the event. We shall be strict but fair. Hehe!