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Nintendo's E3 Predict-a-ton 2010 (win XP!)
 



Zero asked me to prepare a prediction quiz for the biggest show of the year, and I was happy to oblige.

The time is nearly upon us. Nintendo will be taking two hours on June 15th, 9am PST, to unveil their future offerings that are highly likely to include a lavish new Zelda game and a very fancy new portable system. But how well do you know your Nintendo stuff?

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To play!:
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Choose as many statements as you like (eg. A01, A03, A09, A13, B02, B03, B04, C5... etc.)

They're split into four groups depending on how likely they are. You'll either win or lose those points depending on how the show plays out. Too many wrong guesses and you'll end up with a negative score!

As this is an official quiz this time around there will be XP to play for too. Every point of your final score will count as 1000XP. This might sound generous but the victor in the Fall Media Summit quiz was jacksrb with +10 points, so it's not as easy as it sounds. However, the top three predictors will also get a big XP boost, so there's plenty to play for.

Please post your predictions by the end of the 14th!

No editing.

If there are any solid leaks in advance of the show, those statements will be locked down so it might help to get your guesses in early.



A) Most Likely : 2pts

01) Zelda trailer!

02) Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled

03) Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate

04) 3DS is shown in action

05) 3DS is officially... "Nintendo 3DS"

06) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is an enhanced remake

07) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP

08) 3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature

09) Epic Mickey first footage

10) The Last Story first footage

11) Xenoblade confirmed for US release

12) 1 new WM+ Nintendo game revealed

13) Retro's game not mentionned

14) Project Sora's game not mentionned

15) A new Mario game is announced

16) Level-5's Time Travellers confirmed for 3DS



B) Maybe : 4pts

01) New Zelda features Mii's in a major way

02) New Zelda features Mii's in a minor way

03) Zelda Wii playable on the show floor

04) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a new IP

05) 3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season

06) 3DS playable on the show floor

07) 3DS priced under $200

08) 3D movies to be sold in 3DS format

09) Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch

10) Xenoblade playable for the first time

11) Epic Mickey playable

12) Zelda confirmed for 2010

13) At least one new 3rd party Vitality sensor game

14) Vitality Sensor used in a 'core' game

15) Retro's new game named - LOCKED

16) Retro's new game shown - LOCKED

17) Project Sora's new game named

18) Project Sora's new game shown

19) A new F-Zero game is announced

20) Monster Games' (ExciteTruck/Bots)next project revealed

21) Next Level Games' (Mario Strikers/PunchOut) next project revealed

22) A third Wii Sports title is announced

23) Wii Music+ is announced

24) 2 new WM+ Nintendo games revealed

25) Wii's online system to be upgraded

26) Mario Kart for 3DS

27) Animal Crossing for 3DS

28) Wario Ware 3D





C) I don't know... : 6 pts

01) Pikmin 3 trailer

02) First footage of Dragon Quest X

03) A new Wii accesory is announced

04) Nintendo announces a new close-relationship with a major 3rd party

05) New Zelda is Mii-free outside of menus

06) New Zelda uses GPGPU technology to enhance graphics

07) A new Kid Icarus game is announced

08) A new Pilot Wings game is announced

09) A new Wave Race or 1080 game is announced

10) A new Star Fox game is announced

11) Kirby Wii finally unveiled

12) Luigi's Mansion 2 announced

13) Luigi's Mansion 2 will use the Vitality Sensor

14) New Software Development Kit for the Wii unlocks GPGPU features

15) No substantial info on Wii's successor

16) Factor 5's Rogue Squadron game revealed

17) New Wii color/s announced

18) New game from Intelligent Systems is announced

19) SEGA revives a beloved IP on the Wii/3DS

20) 3DS will launch in the Americas next year

21) 3DS only playable by invitation at the show

22) Final Fantasy V, VI or VII remake announced for 3DS

23) Dragon Quest VII or VIII remake announced for 3DS

24) 3DS priced over $200

25) 3DS confirmed to have a more open app-style store

26) 3DS to stream 3D movies

27) Zelda bumped in 2011




D) What the what? : 10 pts

01) 3DS is literally as powerful as the 360 or PS3

02) Zelda renamed "Legend of Mii"

03) Pikmin 3 playable on the show floor

04) Pokemon MMO

05) Retro's game playable on the show floor

06) Square-Enix announces a Nintendo IP project

07) An online-centric 1st party game is announced

08) WiiHD system upgrade

09) 3DS is also a phone

10) Zangeki no Reginleiv gets a release date

11) Sega Saturn added to VC

12) Metroid Dread

13) Substantial info about Wii's successor




Optional Bonus Prediction:

For an extra 10 points, you can predict a 3DS game . For instance: Pokemon Snap 3DS.


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GOOD LUCK!

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URL to share (right click and copy)
06/07/10, 19:15    Edited: 05/16/11, 19:06
 
   
 
Could you number the predictions? It would make it easier for me to make a list.
06/07/10, 19:18   
Yep! Doing that right now.

...Done!
06/07/10, 19:18   
Edited: 06/07/10, 19:20
Cool stuff!

Some of these are open for interpretation (what qualifies as the "main" launch game for 3DS, what "as powerful as" means), so maybe you should make those a little clearer. If you feel like it, of course.

I'll stew these over and hopefully get my choices in before the big show.
06/07/10, 19:25   
Ooo, fun. Thanks for doing it up. (How about adding one for Handheld VC on the 3DS?) Let's see...



A) Most Likely : 2pts


Zelda trailer!

Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled

Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate

3DS is shown in action

Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP

3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature

Epic Mickey first footage

The Last Story first footage

Xenoblade confirmed for US release

1 new WM+ Nintendo game revealed

Project Sora's game not mentionned

A new Mario game is announced

Level-5's Time Travellers confirmed for 3DS



B) Maybe : 4pts

New Zelda features Mii's in a minor way

Zelda Wii playable on the show floor

3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season

3DS playable on the show floor

3DS priced under $200

3D movies to be sold in 3DS format

Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch

Epic Mickey playable

Zelda confirmed for 2010

Retro's new game named

Retro's new game shown

A new F-Zero game is announced

Monster Games' [ExciteTruck/Bots] next project revealed

Wii Music+ is announced

2 new WM+ Nintendo games revealed

Mario Kart for 3DS





C) I don't know... : 6 pts

Pikmin 3 trailer

Nintendo announces a new close-relationship with a major 3rd party

New Zelda uses GPGPU technology to enhance graphics

A new Star Fox game is announced

Kirby Wii finally unveiled

No substantial info on Wii's successor

New Wii color/s announced

New game from Intelligent Systems is announced

SEGA revives a beloved IP on the Wii/3DS

Final Fantasy V, VI or VII remake announced for 3DS


D) What the what? : 10 pts


Pikmin 3 playable on the show floor

Zangeki no Reginleiv gets a release date



Optional Bonus Prediction:

Mario Kart (F-Zero would be amaaaazing, but MK is so hot right not) 3DS, New Super Mario Bros. 3DS?
06/07/10, 19:26   
Edited: 06/07/10, 20:13
A01, A02, A03, A04, A07, A08, A09, A12
B01, B03, B06, B09, B11, B12, B14, B15, B21, B23, B26
C15
Bonus prediction: Kirby 3DS
I'm being conservative this time around, at the media summit I got burned pretty bad. Though I am really tempted to predict D09. It would make perfect sense what with Iwata's comments about Apple being competition.
06/07/10, 19:38   
A:
01
02
04
05
07
08
09
12
13

B:
03
05
06
07
09
12
17
18
23
26
28

C:
01
04
05
09
11
15
18

D:
03

Bonus Prediction: Mario Kart 3DS (This seems like the obvious choice to me, as it's been almost 5 years since the last Mario Kart on the DS, plus it should show off the 3D effects quite nicely.)
06/07/10, 19:57   
A Group:
A01, A02, A03, A04, A07, A08, A09, A12, A14

B Group:
B03, B06, B07, B09, B11, B12, B13, B14, B15, B16, B21

C Group:
C01, C05, B10

D Group:
D03, D05

Bonus Question:
Nintendogs 3DS
06/07/10, 20:10   
That's a nice idea, here goes mine :

A :
01
03
04
05
06
08
09
10
11
13
14
15

B :
02
03
06
07
09
11
12
13
15
16
19
22
25
26
27
28

C :
01
04
05
06
07
09
10
11
14
15
16
19
20
22
23
25

D :
01
06
11
13

BONUS :
StarFox 3DS.
06/07/10, 20:10   
Edited: 06/07/10, 20:15
WOOHOOOO!! HYPE TRAIN!!!

A01, A02, A03, A04, A05, A07, A08, A09, A10, A11, A12, A14, A15

B05, B06, B07, B08, B09, B10, B11, B13, B14, B15, B21, B23, B26, B28

C01, C04, C05, C15, C18, C27

D03, D08

Bonus prediction: Tennis 3DS (either Mario or Mii-like)



Deets:

A01 Zelda trailer!
A02 Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled
A03 Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate
A04 3DS is shown in action
A05 3DS is officially... "Nintendo 3DS"
A07 Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP
A08 3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature
A09 Epic Mickey first footage
A10 The Last Story first footage
A11 Xenoblade confirmed for US release
A12 1 new WM+ Nintendo game revealed
A14 Project Sora's game not mentionned
A15 A new Mario game is announced


B05 3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season
B06 3DS playable on the show floor
B07 3DS priced under $200
B08 3D movies to be sold in 3DS format
B09 Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch
B10 Xenoblade playable for the first time
B11 Epic Mickey playable
B13 At least one new 3rd party Vitality sensor game
B14 Vitality Sensor used in a 'core' game
B15 Retro's new game named
B21 Next Level Games' (Mario Strikers/PunchOut) next project revealed
B23 Wii Music+ is announced
B26 Mario Kart for 3DS
B28 Wario Ware 3D

C01 Pikmin 3 trailer
C04 Nintendo announces a new close-relationship with a major 3rd party
C05 New Zelda is Mii-free outside of menus
C15 No substantial info on Wii's successor
C18 New game from Intelligent Systems is announced
C27 Zelda bumped in 2011

D03 Pikmin 3 playable on the show floor
D08 WiiHD system upgrade [GRIPTOR SEZ: more like Wii+, not necessarily WiiHD]


I will promptly prepare for disappointment. WOOOOOOOOOO!
06/07/10, 20:24   
A-Group:

01
03
04
05
06
07
08

B-Group:

01
03
06
09
12
13
16
19
21
22
24
26
27
28

C-Group:

01
02
03
15
18
24
25

Bonus Prediction:

3-D Sudoku (sp) game announced for the 3DS
06/07/10, 20:25   
A) Most Likely : 2pts

01) Zelda trailer!

02) Wii Vitality sensor's killer app unveiled

03) Vitality sensor shown to do more than measure heart rate

04) 3DS is shown in action

05) 3DS is officially... "Nintendo 3DS"

07) Nintendo's main 3DS launch game is a sequel to an existing Nintendo IP

08) 3DS revealed to have at least one more new key feature

09) Epic Mickey first footage

13) Retro's game not mentionned

14) Project Sora's game not mentionned

15) A new Mario game is announced


B) Maybe : 4pts

03) Zelda Wii playable on the show floor

05) 3DS will launch in the Americas this holiday season

06) 3DS playable on the show floor

07) 3DS priced under $200

09) Big 3rd party franchise to be at/near 3DS launch

11) Epic Mickey playable

12) Zelda confirmed for 2010

14) Vitality Sensor used in a 'core' game

19) A new F-Zero game is announced

20) Monster Games' (ExciteTruck/Bots)next project revealed

21) Next Level Games' (Mario Strikers/PunchOut) next project revealed

22) A third Wii Sports title is announced

24) 2 new WM+ Nintendo games revealed

26) Mario Kart for 3DS

27) Animal Crossing for 3DS

28) Wario Ware 3D


C) I don't know... : 6 pts

01) Pikmin 3 trailer

02) First footage of Dragon Quest X

05) New Zelda is Mii-free outside of menus

10) A new Star Fox game is announced

15) No substantial info on Wii's successor

19) SEGA revives a beloved IP on the Wii/3DS

21) 3DS only playable by invitation at the show

22) Final Fantasy V, VI or VII remake announced for 3DS

25) 3DS confirmed to have a more open app-style store

27) Zelda bumped in 2011

D) What the what? : 10 pts

01) 3DS is literally as powerful as the 360 or PS3

03) Pikmin 3 playable on the show floor

06) Square-Enix announces a Nintendo IP project

07) An online-centric 1st party game is announced

11) Sega Saturn added to VC

12) Metroid Dread

Optional Bonus Prediction:

For an extra 10 points, you can predict a 3DS game . For instance: Pokemon Snap 3DS.

New Mario Kart Game for 3DS
06/07/10, 20:29   
A)
01)
02)
04)
05)
07)
08)
09)
12)
14)
B)
02)
03)
06)
07)
11)
12)
19)
28)
C)
01)
02)
06)
15)
16)

Edited out my bonus prediction and condensed the rest of my post.
06/07/10, 20:38   
Edited: 06/08/10, 00:01
A01, A02, A03, A04, A05, A07, A08, A09, A10, A11, A12, A14
B02, B03, B04, B05, B06, B07, B09, B10, B12, B13, B14, B15, B16, B21, B24, B26
C01, C02, C04, C06, C07, C11, C14, C15, C19, C20, C25
D03, D06

Bonus: Mario Kart 3DS
06/07/10, 22:41   
Quick question: If we get our bonus prediction wrong, do we lose 10 points?
06/07/10, 22:52   
Another quick question:

Some are predicting Mario Kart 3DS as their bonus prediction...if it comes true will they get points for both that and B26 (which is Mario Kart 3DS)?

I think Mario Kart is likely so I predicted it via B26, but I figured it would be excluded from the bonus prediction so I predicted something else!
06/07/10, 23:10   
Too late to implement this now, but maybe next time, everyone could write their answer to the bonus question in Spoiler text (honor system would apply) and the 10 points would be split between everyone who had it correctly guessed. So you would pick something obvious at your own risk and guessing something that no one else did could get you more points.
06/07/10, 23:21   
The bonus prediction is the one thing I didn't run past Zero, but I figured that as with all the other statements it's a win/lose situation. That's why it's optional. By all means go ahead and edit it out now if you like.

Griptor, think of the 10pt prediction as a gamble. If you think Mario Kart 3DS will show up then you can either be tentative and say B26, or you can go all out and also make it your 10pt prediction.

Yes, it's all wonderfully, needlessly complicated! (although I think it makes sense, just about )

-

Jargon, it's hard to be any clearer about the definition of "main game" on the 3DS or whether it's hardware power is literally 360 or PS3 level. We'll have to make a judgement call based on the event. We shall be strict but fair. Hehe!
06/07/10, 23:25   
This is pretty cool.

A1, A3, A4, A8, A9, A12, A14, B3, B4, B5, B6, B7, B8, B9, B13, B15, B16, B21, B24, C1, C12, C15, C17, C18, C27, D5
06/07/10, 23:49   
Big.

Toe.
06/07/10, 23:58   
A:) 01, 02, 03, 04, 05, 07, 08, 09, 10, 11, 12

B:) 03, 05, 06, 07, 09, 10, 11, 12, 15, 16, 17, 18, 24

C:) 05, 06, 11, 15, 16, 26
06/08/10, 00:17   
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