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--E3 Predict-a-ton Challenge 2015 is now open!--
 



♪ You're a virtual tiger on the back of a big lion, that is riding a falcon, that is flying through fire ♪


It's Christmas in June. Tuesday the 16th at 9am PST! What's gonna happen? What news will emerge from this year's Nintendo Digital Event, Treehouse Live and the E3 show floor and will it explode with the fury of 1000 Iwata bombs or be a damp squid? Squib. Damp squib. (sorry, too much Splatoon)


Enter the 2015 Predict-a-ton where you predict megatons and win probably nothing*

*but maybe a trophy?

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How To Play:
======

Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A2, A3, A7, B1, C10...)

But choose wisely! These predictions are more valuable as they become increasingly risky. Correct picks WIN you points, but incorrect picks LOSE you points.

Will you get more than a negative score? Many have tried and failed. Last year's winner was our Lord and master Zero with a record breaking +62 points.


Please post your predictions by the end of June 15th.


No editing.


Any statements that are officially confirmed in advance of the presentation will be grayed out and you won't be able to pick them after that, so it might help to get your guesses in early.


For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the doors close at the end of day 3.




A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

03) Robot Chicken and Mega64 contribute to the Digital Event

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

06) No Zelda trailer

07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

04) Pokken Fighters coming to Wii U

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction

08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8

09) Other Nintendo IP coming to Splatoon

10) Amiibo-centric retail game



C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

04) New project from the Nintendo Garage

05) New console RPG

06) Pokemon Z

07) Major new 3rd party game for Wii U

08) A new Wii branded game (Sports/Party etc.)

09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.

10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

03) Tokyo EAD trailer

04) Mother 3

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

06) Pokemon amiibo series

07) E3 demos on the eShop

08) A new type of amiibo

09) New Hardware (accessory/add-on/...)

10) NX info slips out



Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Excite, F-Zero, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Metroid, Pokemon Snap, Punch-Out!!, Star Tropics, Wario, Waverace.


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GOOD LUCK!

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Posted: 06/09/15, 20:57:43  - Edited by 
 on: 06/14/15, 19:33:18
[ Share ]
 
 
One week to go!
Posted: 06/09/15, 20:59:31
I hope I'm completely wrong but I think this year's E3 may be very uneventful, just like my prediction list.

A1, A2, A4, A10

B1, B3, B6, B7, B10

C3, C10
Posted: 06/09/15, 21:05:39
A) Expected : 2pts
01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
06) No Zelda trailer
07) Devil's Third 2015 release date
08) Western name for Fire Emblem If
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts
01) StarFox playable
03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced


C) High risk: 6 pts
03) Something new from Retro Studios
06) Pokemon Z


D) MEGATON : 10 pts
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP
Posted: 06/09/15, 21:17:27
A01, A02, A04, A05, A06

B01, B03, B05, B06

C01, C03


I always try to be really conservative when it comes to these. Lets see if it pays off this year.
Posted: 06/09/15, 21:26:32
A01) Mario Maker dated for this year
A02) Star Fox trailer
A04) New DLC announced
A06) No Zelda trailer

B05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

C03) Something new from Retro Studios


Thanks for doing this again, IW!
Posted: 06/09/15, 21:31:22
A. 01, 02, 04, 05, 07, 08

B. 01, 03, 06, 10

C. 01, 03, 07, 10

D. 01, 04 (believe!), 08, 10

Bonus Prediction: Metroid

Go big or go home. I'll probably lose by a lot...and I'm okay with that.
Posted: 06/09/15, 22:03:52  - Edited by 
 on: 06/09/15, 22:04:24
I'll put together a list later, but if you pick D01, aren't you also picking Metroid as a bonus prediction?
Posted: 06/09/15, 22:09:25
A) Expected : 2pts
01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4pts
01) StarFox playable
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

C) High risk: 6 pts
01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
03) Something new from Retro Studios

D) MEGATON : 10 pts
04) Mother 3
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP
Posted: 06/09/15, 22:09:47
I think I was second or third place with this last year! Let's see if I can do it again...

A) Expected : 2pts
01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4pts
01) StarFox playable
02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced **If the Smash Direct on Sunday is included as part of this contest!**
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

C) High risk: 6 pts

03) Something new from Retro Studios
10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid
04) Mother 3 ('cause I still believe in miracles, I swear I've seen a few)
10) NX info slips out

Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Metroid time.
Posted: 06/09/15, 23:56:55
A-01) Mario Maker dated for this year
A-02) Star Fox trailer
A-07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

B-01) StarFox playable
B-06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

Also: no new Metroid, in fact no mention of Metroid, like it doesn't even exist, which should make Jeremy Parish happy.
Posted: 06/10/15, 00:24:15  - Edited by 
 on: 06/10/15, 00:50:41
I think a trophy is a great win idea! Maybe trophies for people who made positive points, then an ultimate trophy for whoever wins throughout the years. Also, shouldn't these have to be locked in by Saturday? With the Smash event thing on Sunday, some of the options could occur then and I feel like they should be counted considering it's E3 week.

A) Expected : 2pts
01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
07) Devil's Third 2015 release date
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable
02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox
03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive
04) Pokken Fighters coming to Wii U
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year
07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction
10) Amiibo-centric retail game

C) High risk: 6 pts
01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
03) Something new from Retro Studios
06) Pokemon Z
09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.
10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U

D) MEGATON : 10 pts
01) Brand new Metroid
03) Tokyo EAD trailer
04) Mother 3

Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)
Metroid

104 total points available for me. +/- 154 points. I wonder where I'll land on this wide range. I'll remove my bonus option if need be since D1 and Metroid in bonus go together. Really they probably shouldn't as it makes Metroid worth more than other franchises but maybe it also doesn't matter.
Posted: 06/10/15, 00:42:40  - Edited by 
 on: 06/10/15, 01:16:59
A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
06) No Zelda trailer
08) Western name for Fire Emblem If
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year


C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
03) Something new from Retro Studios
06) Pokemon Z
10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP


Bonus Prediction: Metroid


It is done.
Posted: 06/10/15, 01:21:41
A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

06) No Zelda trailer

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

C) High risk: 6 pts

03) Something new from Retro Studios

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Metroid
Posted: 06/10/15, 01:27:46
Does something from Platinum that Nintendo is publishing count as a third party game for the purposes of this competition?
Posted: 06/10/15, 02:09:21
@V_s, you're welcome! Hope these are a good set of predictions to cover most eventualities. I always wrestle over them a while. I'm hoping there will be one or two true statements in the D group this year.

@TBun, yep you came joint 2nd last year with what would have been a winning score in any previous year...


DeputyVanHalen said:
I'll put together a list later, but if you pick D01, aren't you also picking Metroid as a bonus prediction?

It'd be the same prediction but you'd make it separately because the optional part will win or lose 50 points, not just 10. Nothing to stop you from doing both if you're confident!

Jargon said:
Does something from Platinum that Nintendo is publishing count as a third party game for the purposes of this competition?

Unless Nintendo is helping to make the game, then yes. That'd be a 3rd party game. Funding or publishing the game doesn't change that.
Posted: 06/10/15, 02:23:25
@Infinitywave

Got it. Thanks!


A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction

10) Amiibo-centric retail game



C) High risk: 6 pts

02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

07) Major new 3rd party game for Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

08) A new type of amiibo



Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Metroid
Posted: 06/10/15, 02:34:53
A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction


C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Punch Out!!
Posted: 06/10/15, 06:24:47
Hmm... Devil's Third releasing August 4th in Japan. Maybe I should have gone with A7...
Posted: 06/10/15, 06:56:11
Right, here we go!


A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
06) No Zelda trailer
07) Devil's Third 2015 release date
08) Western name for Fire Emblem If
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable
02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox
03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year
07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction
08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8


C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
03) Something new from Retro Studios
09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.
10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid
03) Tokyo EAD trailer
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP


Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Metroid
Posted: 06/10/15, 07:52:16
Okay here is my first E3 Prediction:

A:1,2,4,5,6,7,9 and 10

B: 1,2,3,6,7,8 and 9

C: 3,7 and 10

D: 1,5

Bonus: Metroid
Posted: 06/10/15, 08:46:17
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