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E3 2021 Predict-a-ton!
 
After two years of hibernation, the E3 Predict-a-ton is back!!! Last year in particular was a weird one for everybody and it was the first year in decades without an E3. Pseudo events tried to replace it but Nintendo didn't really participate. This year, E3 is all-virtual but Nintendo is all-in! So in the spirit of the season I was excited to resurrect the Predict-a-ton for E3 2021! Let's-a-go!

How To Play:
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Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A3, A6, B5, C9, D10…)

Make your choices in a prudent manner! Each category is more valuable but also becomes increasingly risky. A correct pick means you WIN those points. An incorrect pick means you LOSE those points. This means you might even end up with a negative score, but you may just succeed with the highest total instead!

Please post your predictions by the end of Friday, June 11th, as that's the eve before E3 technically begins on June 12th. I don't think it's clear as of writing this whether or not Nintendo is sticking to Tuesday for their showcase but a lot of events happen before then, so it's best to presume news will be rolling in by then.

It proves to vote early though as any statements that are confirmed ahead of the presentation will be locked and no-longer viable for new pickers. With news of a Switch Pro swirling like a pinwheel during a monsoon, one of these might go out any moment.

This one's obvious but NO editing. Your initial vote is your final vote, so make it count!

For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, any potential Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the digital doors close at the end of Tuesday, June 15th.

========================


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

03) Age of Calamity DLC Pack 1 thoroughly explained

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)

07) Animal Crossing: New Horizons gets Zelda-specific content

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 35 different games

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter Will Launch The Week of E3

02) Super Mario Party Sequel Announced

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

05) Sequel Announced to Mario + Rabbids

06) Metroid Prime Trilogy is coming to Switch in 2021!

07) Samus Aran Comes to Fortnite

08) The Legend of Zelda: 3D All-Stars Coming to Switch (or equivalent combo pack)

09) Monolith Soft’s newest game gets revealed

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

02) New 2D Mario Game

03) Previously unannounced new mobile game from Nintendo

04) New Karts and/or features for Mario Kart Live: Home Circuit

05) The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages/Seasons Remake Announced

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

07) Bayonetta 3 Gameplay Revealed

08) Nintendo Online App Gets A Functionality Overhaul

09) Game which released over 18 months ago receives substantial new surprise DLC

10) New Fire Emblem Game Announced


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Special Edition: Zelda-themed Switch Pro

02) Major previously Xbox or PS exclusive game hits the Switch

03) Labo VR Mode announced for Pokemon Snap

04) Xbox Game Pass comes to Nintendo Switch

05) Metroid Prime 4 Releases This Year

06) Bayonetta 3 Releases This Year

07) New “Nintendo Classic” mini console (any console besides the NES and SNES count)

08) ‘Mother 3’ Finally Coming!

09) Mario Kart 9 (or equivalent) is unveiled

10) Reggie Fils Aime returns to E3!

=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game entry in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Eternal Darkness, Excite, F-Zero, Golden Sun, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Nintendogs, Pikmin, Punch-Out!!, Rhythm Heaven, Star Fox, Star Tropics, Wario, Wave Race.

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GOOD LUCK!

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Last time I expanded this last time to Nintemple, Twitter, and Discord. I'm going to be doing that again this year! So if you happen to see a Google Forms list for this, but you're an active member of NegativeWorld.org, then please post your response/entry in this thread only. Thank you!

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Posted: 05/28/21, 03:55:00
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Thanks for doing this again DrFinkelstein! I always love it.

Playing it safe this year. The perfect strategy.


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

03) Age of Calamity DLC Pack 1 thoroughly explained

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!
Posted: 05/28/21, 07:28:18
@Secret_Tunnel

You're welcome! I guess I should post my predictions.

-----------------------------------------

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

03) Age of Calamity DLC Pack 1 thoroughly explained

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 35 different games

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

05) Sequel Announced to Mario + Rabbids

06) Metroid Prime Trilogy is coming to Switch in 2021!

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

10) New Fire Emblem Game Announced


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

09) Mario Kart 9 (or equivalent) is unveiled

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)
None!

-----------------------------------------

If my Math is correct... 64 possible points here. heh
Posted: 05/28/21, 16:50:47
Love me a Predict-a-ton! I definitely don't really expect much from the Big N lately, although I feel the Switch Pro is inevitable at this point.

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 35 different games

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter Will Launch The Week of E3

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

09) Monolith Soft’s newest game gets revealed

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High risk : 6 pts

03) Previously unannounced new mobile game from Nintendo


D) MEGATON : 10 pts


09) Mario Kart 9 (or equivalent) is unveiled


=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)


I simply can't take a chance here this year!
Posted: 05/28/21, 20:40:01
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!


C) High risk : 6 pts

07) Bayonetta 3 Gameplay Revealed
Posted: 05/28/21, 21:55:57
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!

B) Rumored : 4 pts

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game entry in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: Pikmin
Posted: 05/29/21, 01:00:12  - Edited by 
 on: 05/29/21, 01:00:46
Thanks so much for keeping this going, DrFinklestein! You're the best. I'll post my predictions soon.


Did you know this is the 20th anniversary of the prediction quiz's invention? Yes, I started this for Spaceworld 2001. : O


Just for fun, here's what that looked like:

(A) Easy guesses? - 1 point

1* Luigi's Mansion will be released as 'Luigi Mansion'
2* Mario and Zelda³ officially announced
3* Rogue Leader's Hoth level playable
4* Star Fox Adventures far more polished than at E3
5* GC and GBA connectivity demonstrated
6* In-game Mario³ footage shown
7* No mention of Perfect Dark sequel
8* Namco publicly annouce their GC support
9* No GC info from Konami
10* 1st party online titles not named


(B) More than likely- 2 points

1* Sonic Adventure 2+ is Sonic Team's only secret game
2* Pokemon GBA and GC shown
3* No Mario³ before Summer 2002
4* In-game Donkey Kong Racing footage
5* Biohazard 0 given a release date
6* Soul Calibur 2 shown
7* Zelda³ shown on video only
8* Camelot announces an RPG & Mario Sports game
9* AM2 reveals GC game(s)
10* Capcom names at least 4 GC games


(C) Slightly out there - 5 points

1* Mario³ playable and available by Q1 2002
2* Enix to bring DQVIII to GC
3* Soul Calibur 2 will premiere on GC
4* Playable 1080 Snowboarding 2
5* HAL reveals GBA Smash Brothers with GC link
6* In-game footage of Zelda³
7* Secret online Nintendo game revealed
8* Five or more 3rd party RPGs confirmed
9* Virtua Fighter 4 announced for GameCube
10* Mario Sunshine revealed as a Camelot RPG


(D) Off the planet- 10 points

1* Mario Kart³ playable
2* Golden Sun GC to release this year
3* Enix makes GC their target platform
4* Perfect Dark sequel shown
5* MGS2/DMC/Onimusha or Silent Hill 2 announced for GC
6* GC actually online this year
7* Square announce GC support with exclusive games
8* Nintendo names all twenty 1st party GC titles in development
9* Final Fantasy X ported to GC
10* Mario³ at launch


Funny that some of these, like Final Fantasy X and Dragon Quest VIII only recently came to Nintendo systems. ^__^
Posted: 05/29/21, 03:08:54
Infinitywave said:

10* Mario Sunshine revealed as a Camelot RPG

Hahaha what? Was this a rumor?

These are awesome! Cool that you dug this up.
Posted: 05/29/21, 03:47:45
Here are my guesses. I felt like I was being fairly cautious but now reading them back this would be the best E3 in years so I must be way off:


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

04) New amiibo revealed

07) Animal Crossing: New Horizons gets Zelda-specific content

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

06) Metroid Prime Trilogy is coming to Switch in 2021!

08) The Legend of Zelda: 3D All-Stars Coming to Switch (or equivalent combo pack)

09) Monolith Soft’s newest game gets revealed

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

07) Bayonetta 3 Gameplay Revealed


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Special Edition: Zelda-themed Switch Pro


=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

Excite
Posted: 05/29/21, 03:51:12
Once more unto the breach.


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

03) Age of Calamity DLC Pack 1 thoroughly explained

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 35 different games

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter Will Launch The Week of E3

02) Super Mario Party Sequel Announced

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

06) Metroid Prime Trilogy is coming to Switch in 2021!

08) The Legend of Zelda: 3D All-Stars Coming to Switch (or equivalent combo pack)

09) Monolith Soft’s newest game gets revealed

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type -You gotta believe!

02) New 2D Mario Game

05) The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages/Seasons Remake Announced


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Special Edition: Zelda-themed Switch Pro

09) Mario Kart 9 (or equivalent) is unveiled
Posted: 05/29/21, 06:26:19
@Infinitywave

Wild to see that list! Square and Enix are seen as two separate companies! lol

I appreciate you starting this all those years back because I think it's a very clean and fun design for a game. Its current iteration is fantastic and it's why I haven't tweaked it. I've pondered adding more options per category but 10 feels really good and if I start adding more I might as well just go over every franchise for every level and make a thousand options. Wouldn't be as snappy to enjoy. So well done then and thanks again now!
Posted: 05/29/21, 07:16:47
Just rigged up my calculator to start tabulating and preparing for the results. I'm stoked to see how things turned out. It's great to see a wide variety of choices picked from my Negative World brethren, but apparently nobody thinks Samus is coming to Fortnite at E3. She was found to be a possibility in the Epic vs Apple trial documents, but the question of how far that did or will actually go is yet to be seen.

Looking at the Google Forms survey I see that three people have remained anonymous. The problem with this is that I can't show someone their results/ranking if I can't know who they are. I guess I'll be omitting them from the final rankings. I might make a statement on it but they can always add up their scores individually on their own time since they know what they did pick-wise. Weird.

Two entries in particular claim not to have Twitter, Discord, or a human name on Facebook. Those are the three ways I shared the form so it's weird people didn't at least pick a unique pseudonym. Whatev'.
Posted: 05/31/21, 20:44:24  - Edited by 
 on: 05/31/21, 20:53:24
A) Expected : 2 pts
01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Splatoon 3 makes an appearance and gets elaborated on
08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed
10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!

B) Rumored : 4 pts
04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

C) High risk : 6 pts
07) Bayonetta 3 Gameplay Revealed


Thanks for doing this again!
Posted: 06/01/21, 23:14:18
Secret_Tunnel said:
04) Super Nintendo Switch (or equivalent Switch Pro) gets revealed!

I felt so clever for getting this prediction in at 11:30pm after this thread was posted, thinking that the Switch Pro would be getting announced the next morning before anyone else got a chance to lock their posts in...
Posted: 06/01/21, 23:49:39
@Secret_Tunnel

Things really did look like it was going to be revealed. That pressure is part of why I got this thing posted when I did.

Now that they formally announced the 9am PT/12pm ET time slot for Tuesday the 15th... I'm wondering if we'll hear anything else from them or not until that day.
Posted: 06/02/21, 18:06:18
Thanks for putting this together! I always stink at these, but I might as well throw in my guesses just to make other people feel good about theirs.

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) A New Smash Bros. DLC Fighter is Revealed

02) Pokemon Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl include Platinum content

03) Age of Calamity DLC Pack 1 thoroughly explained

04) New amiibo revealed

08) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 finally detailed

10) Mother 3 does NOT get revealed!

B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Super Mario Party Sequel Announced

03) New Donkey Kong Game Revealed

06) Metroid Prime Trilogy is coming to Switch in 2021!

10) Something new from the Kirby series appears


C) High Risk : 6 pts

03) Previously unannounced new mobile game from Nintendo

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

07) Bayonetta 3 Gameplay Revealed

10) New Fire Emblem Game Announced

Hm... no 10-pointers for me this year methinks, these seem too wild.
Posted: 06/02/21, 20:49:30
@Mop it up

Your picks would make a great E3. But I do wanna see that Splatoon 3 show up. A new stage would satiate my hunger.
Posted: 06/03/21, 05:25:07
Leakers are back-pedalling on the Super Switch early reveal. Could go either way.

Regardless it should be a packed 40 mins & Treehouse. I just wish we weren't waiting until the last day of E3, dagnabbit! -__-'
Posted: 06/04/21, 02:00:39
@Infinitywave

GFKJASKDJA

I'm half-tempted to make a website that chronicles the success rate of Nintendo rumormongers.

In today's crazy world of misinformation, this is the most pressing problem. Still waiting on Pokemon Stars...

I kind of love that Nintendo cancelled their Star Fox and Zelda shows after plans for them leaked. Maybe that's what they're doing with the Super Switch too.

Their E3 announcement tweet did say their presentation would focus exclusively on Nintendo Switch software... does that mean that they're focusing exclusively on software, or that the software they're focusing on is exclusively for Nintendo Switch? Or are they just blatantly lying?

I kind of love it when they blatantly lie.
Posted: 06/04/21, 04:46:17
@Secret_Tunnel

Honestly they're probably blatantly lying. I feel like they do that consistently with these events. Though I think "mostly 2021" is just literal code for, we'll show you more Splatoon 3.
Posted: 06/04/21, 20:21:48
So bizarre. As I mentioned earlier this week, I expanded the Predict-a-ton to Twitter/FB/Discord. Of course I still ask that someone place their name of some kind in order to be able to report out their opinions.

I had one person play as Anonymous, which doesn't really do anyone any good. But then I saw an entry for "Don’t have any of these, just doing this for fun and remaining mysterious 😶"

Then I saw two of those. Very specific verbiage for two unique people to do both. So I suspect there's no other option but it's the same person. Then I saw more entries like this. Now we're up to 9 entries submitted by "Don’t have any of these, just doing this for fun and remaining mysterious 😶".

Yeah... what's the point? I can't report them out and frankly I can't trust them to be legit responses in this situation regarding any analysis of the options themselves.

Just weird. One more week to go in case anyone else want's to participate!
Posted: 06/04/21, 22:05:37
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