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E3 2018 Predict-a-ton!
 
It’s the most wonderful time of the year! E3! Nintendo has been quite free to share big news throughout the year ever since Iwata started the Nintendo Directs, but E3 still packs a major news punch! Last year I hosted the Negative World E3 Predict-a-ton and with alignment from InfinityWave, I’m doing so again this year! Let’s do this!

How To Play:
========================

Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A3, A6, B5, C9, D10…)

Make your choices in a prudent manner! Each category is more valuable but also becomes increasingly risky. A correct pick means you WIN those points. An incorrect pick means you LOSE those points. This means you might even end up with a negative score, but you may just succeed with the highest total instead!

Please post your predictions by the end of June 11th. It proves to vote early though as any statements that are confirmed ahead of the presentation will be locked and no-longer viable for new pickers.

This one's obvious but NO editing. Your initial vote is your final vote, so make it count!

For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the doors close at the end of Day 3.

========================


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game

02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service

03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion

06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates

08) New Joy-con Color(s)

09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) New 2D Mario revealed

02) Fortnite coming to Switch

03) Nintendo Online app gets overhaul

04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced

05) Bayonetta 3 Details

06) New Main-line Animal Crossing Game Unveiled

07) The Wonderful 101 bring ported to Switch

08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts

09) Overcooked 2 Announced

10) New Super Mario Odyssey World(s) as DLC


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Pikmin 4 Revealed

02) New Joy-con Type (i.e. True D-Pad, GameCube Joystick, Camera nub, etc)

03) Rabbids join as fighters in Super Smash Bros. Switch

04) New Themed Switch (console itself, may also include joy-cons)

05) Trailer for the new Pokemon (core series)

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

07) New Full-Roster amiibo planned for Super Smash Bros. Switch

08) E3 Demos on the eShop

09) Super Mario Maker 2 for Switch

10) Two new Labo kits announced!


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Third-Pillar Platform Revealed

02) Pokemon amiibo series

03) Banjo-Kazooie in Super Smash Bros

04) Major Franchise Typically On PS/XB Coming To Switch (not Fortnite or Fallout)

05) Details for the next Zelda game

06) Native voice chat patched into Nintendo Switch

07) GB Classic Announced

08) ‘Mother 3’ Announced For Nintendo Online

09) Fallout franchise coming to Switch in some form

10) Nintendo obtains new 2nd Party Developer


Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Eternal Darkness, Excite, F-Zero, Golden Sun, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Mario Party, Pokemon Snap, Punch-Out!!, Rhythm Heaven, Star Tropics, Wario, Wave Race.


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GOOD LUCK!

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Last year I let Nintemple also play, and this year I am expanding this to Twitter/Discord. If you see a Google Forms list for this, but are a member of this website, please submit your responses here and do not vote in both places. Thank you!

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Posted: 06/04/18, 13:13:23  - Edited by 
 on: 06/11/18, 06:01:14
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Fairly conservative this year. Especially since I no longer have my perennial Metroid bonus pick. Not confident enough for any of the others to wager 50 points on this time, lol.

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)
07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4 pts

08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts
10) New Super Mario Odyssey World(s) as DLC


C) High risk : 6 pts

05) Trailer for the new Pokemon (core series)
06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

02) Pokemon amiibo series
04) Major Franchise Typically On PS/XB Coming To Switch (not Fortnite or Fallout)
Posted: 06/04/18, 14:37:58
I'm going very conservative this year since I haven't really been following the rumors.

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch
04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced

C) High risk : 6 pts

09) Super Mario Maker 2 for Switch
Posted: 06/04/18, 16:40:08
Pretty sure that this is the least conservative I've ever been in one of the Predict-a-Thons. Oh well, let's see how low I can score!


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch
04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced
05) Bayonetta 3 Details
08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts
09) Overcooked 2 Announced


C) High risk : 6 pts

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

05) Details for the next Zelda game


Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

Fire Emblem
Posted: 06/04/18, 17:55:54
Some straight copy-pasting of the first two categories because frankly I've never been good at this and losing after putting in a lot of effort in previous years was no fun to me, so at least this way I can roll random dice and blame luck if need be.


01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game

02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service

03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion

06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

01) New 2D Mario revealed

02) Fortnite coming to Switch

03) Nintendo Online app gets overhaul

04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced

05) Bayonetta 3 Details

06) New Main-line Animal Crossing Game Unveiled

07) The Wonderful 101 bring ported to Switch

08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts

09) Overcooked 2 Announced

10) New Super Mario Odyssey World(s) as DLC

07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates

08) New Joy-con Color(s)

09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo
Posted: 06/04/18, 18:03:06
I'm not trying to get into any sort of debate, but before I make my choice, I'd like to know what you, DrFinklestein, as the scorekeeper, is going to count as a new Smash Bros. game.

For A02) What if there are no new details mentioned about the online, meaning what we know is its full reveal? I take it that means negative points here?

A07) What do you count as DLC? Does it have to be something that costs money, or do updates count?

A10) I kind of feel like this should be in a riskier category. ;)

B10) This counts whether it's free or paid?

C10) If only one kit is announced, do we get half the points?
Posted: 06/04/18, 19:22:33
@Mop it up

New meaning not just a remake or combo pack of the Wii U, 3DS, or past titles.

Mario Tennis could receive paid or Splatoon-style dlc. Anything new besides standard code fixes

Fair enough on the A10, lol.

Free or paid is fine for Mario.

And lastly, no half points. If one kit is announced, we simply all go pre-order it. :P
Posted: 06/04/18, 19:40:18
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game

02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service

03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion

06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch

05) Bayonetta 3 Details


C) High risk : 6 pts

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed


Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

If the Fire Emblem game that we know is coming for Switch but hasn't been fully revealed yet counts as an "unannounced title," then I choose Fire Emblem.

If that particular game wouldn't count, then I choose Wario.
Posted: 06/04/18, 19:58:13
@DrFinkelstein Thanks mate.

A) Expected : 2 pts
01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
04) New amiibo revealed
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts
02) Fortnite coming to Switch
09) Overcooked 2 Announced
Posted: 06/04/18, 20:06:33
Question: What does the "E3 demos on the eShop" mean exactly? A game playable at E3 also available as an eShop demo download or a game shown off but not necessarily playable on the showroom floor available as a downloadable demo?
Posted: 06/04/18, 21:29:53
@r_hjort

Not necessarily from the show floor, but demos that come out for games shown at E3. Nintendo did this a few years ago but not in a while.
Posted: 06/05/18, 02:36:56
@Secret_Tunnel

What is this Fire Emblem title you speak of? I know recent games have been out, but I didn't know one was announced...
Posted: 06/05/18, 03:50:22
I always do really bad on these, here goes!

A) Expected : 2 pts
01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts
02) Fortnite coming to Switch
04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced
05) Bayonetta 3 Details
07) The Wonderful 101 bring ported to Switch

C) High risk : 6 pts
05) Trailer for the new Pokemon (core series)
06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed
10) Two new Labo kits announced!

D) MEGATON : 10 pts
04) Major Franchise Typically On PS/XB Coming To Switch (not Fortnite or Fallout)

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)
Mario Party
Posted: 06/05/18, 04:42:32  - Edited by 
 on: 06/05/18, 04:44:18
@DrFinkelstein Back in January 2017 Nintendo announced that a regular Fire Emblem game was in development for Switch, in addition to Fire Emblem Warriors which came out first. I can't blame you for forgetting that as I don't think the title has since been mentioned again, but it is in the works. You might want to consider removing it from your bonus list, since it's already been announced. Or changing it to be predicting that the game will finally be shown.
Posted: 06/05/18, 05:08:18
You sure Fire Emblem should be on the bonus list? That series is super alive and well, and has already been confirmed for Switch too. It's nowhere near the level of surprise of something like StarTropics, Eternal Darkness or Ice Climber!
Posted: 06/05/18, 06:42:12
I normally crash and burn with these so lets see how poorly I do this year!!

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch
05) Bayonetta 3 Details

C) High risk : 6 pts

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed
07) New Full-Roster amiibo planned for Super Smash Bros. Switch

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

02) Pokemon amiibo series
09) Fallout franchise coming to Switch in some form
Posted: 06/05/18, 07:14:41  - Edited by 
 on: 06/05/18, 21:02:38
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch
05) Bayonetta 3 Details
09) Overcooked 2 Announced

C) High risk : 6 pts

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed
08) E3 Demos on the eShop


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

02) Pokemon amiibo series
09) Fallout franchise coming to Switch in some form
Posted: 06/05/18, 10:13:45
Double post so as to avoid editing and stuff.

Not going into this years E3 with any big expectations. I honestly don't think it will be a big year for Nintendo in terms of E3 reveals and presentation since they're focusing on 2018. I get the feeling that most of what we'll see is stuff that has already been shown off or announced, and that they'll give a lot of attention to the Pokémon games and try to push the online/competetive scene aspects with Mario Tennis, ARMS, Splatoon 2 and so on. EDIT: Oh yeah, Smash obviously.

I'm actually feeling that the predictions I've made in this thread are a tad on the optimistic side. But hey, I'd like to be wrong.
Posted: 06/05/18, 11:01:17  - Edited by 
 on: 06/05/18, 11:04:23
Ultimately I agree with folks who have raised the question. Fire Emblem is removed from the bonus on grounds that It was announced earlier this year, which wouldn't count come E3. While yes, maybe a new game could be and thus that could count, I cannot be sure what people meant or if they knew about the other game yet, as I clearly didn't.

If you already voted fire emblem, you can change it if you want but I will ultimately be removing it from consideration.
Posted: 06/05/18, 12:40:03
Go big or go home.

A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game
02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion
06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)
07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates
09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts

02) Fortnite coming to Switch
04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced
05) Bayonetta 3 Details
06) New Main-line Animal Crossing Game Unveiled
08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts


C) High risk : 6 pts

02) New Joy-con Type (i.e. True D-Pad, GameCube Joystick, Camera nub, etc)
03) Rabbids join as fighters in Super Smash Bros. Switch
04) New Themed Switch (console itself, may also include joy-cons)
05) Trailer for the new Pokemon (core series)
06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed
08) E3 Demos on the eShop
09) Super Mario Maker 2 for Switch
10) Two new Labo kits announced!


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Third-Pillar Platform Revealed
02) Pokemon amiibo series
03) Banjo-Kazooie in Super Smash Bros
04) Major Franchise Typically On PS/XB Coming To Switch (not Fortnite or Fallout)
09) Fallout franchise coming to Switch in some form


No Bonus
Posted: 06/05/18, 13:52:02  - Edited by 
 on: 06/05/18, 13:54:52
YAY
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game

02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion

06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates

09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo


B) Rumored : 4 pts

03) Nintendo Online app gets overhaul

04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced

08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts

10) New Super Mario Odyssey World(s) as DLC


C) High risk : 6 pts

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

08) E3 Demos on the eShop
Posted: 06/05/18, 16:45:28
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