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--[E3 2012 Predict-a-ton Challenge is open!]--
 


It's almost that time again, gamers' Christmas!

At 9am PST, on Tuesday June 5th the Wii U will finally be showcased with actual high-def Nintendo software and a full disclosure of its features. We're expecting impressive 3rd party reveals, fresh 3DS announcements too and all kinds of surprises.

Think you know Nintendo?

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To play!:
======

Here are four sets of statements. Simply pick whichever ones you think will come true! (choose as many as you like eg. A01, A03, A09, A13, B02, B03, B04, C5... etc.).

But choose wisely! 2 pointers are very likely to happen, 10 pointers are the big gambles. For each statement you'll either win or lose that number of points depending on how the show plays out. That means guess incorrectly too many times and you'll end up with a negative score and have to live with the shame for the rest of the year. ;p

Please post your predictions by the end of the 4th.

No editing.

We will gray out any statements that are officially confirmed in advanced of the conference and you won't be able to pick them after that, so it might help to get your guesses in early!



A) Most Likely : 2pts

01) Pre-show music = Wii will, Wii will, Rock U

02) Wii U is the name, deal with it

03) Reggie, Miyamoto, Iwata present

04) Nintendo emphasizes "deep" support for the gaming core

05) Wii U's final tablet design is what we saw on the twitter leak

06) Clickable sticks

07) Analog triggers

08) The Wii U's North American release date will be announced

09) No specs

10) No price

11) The Wii U's technical power isn't measured against the 360/PS3 in a precise way

12) Pikmin 3 trailer!

13) New Super Mario Bros. Wii 2 (or NSMB Mii) for launch

14) No mention of Zelda Wii U

15) No mention of Unreal 4 Engine

16) High profile 3rd party ports showcase the tablet controller

17) Luigi's Mansion 2 gets a release date

18) Animal Crossing 3DS gets a release date

19) Paper Mario 3DS gets a release date

20) Fire Emblem: Awakening gets a release date

21) New 3DS color/s

22) Conference ends with a surprise Wii U title

23) Pikmin 3 playable

24) Project CARS playable

25) New Super Mario Bros. Mii playable on show floor

26) Reggie looks like he wants to slap Geoff Keighley after a stupid question




B) Maybe : 4pts

01) Wii U to have a pack-in game

02) Call of Duty: Black Ops 2 for Wii U

03) Retro's new project is shown/trailered!

04) BioShock Infinite for Wii U

05) Wii U Sports!

06) Resident Evil 6 for Wii U

07) High profile 3rd party ports demonstrate graphical superiority over 360/PS3

08) Pikmin 3 to be a launch title

09) Killer Freaks to be a launch title

10) 5th Cell announces a launch title for the Wii U

11) An original 3DS Zelda game!

12) An original 3DS Metroid game!

13) Retro is making Metroid Prime 4 (or other pure Metroid game)

14) Nintendo shows a 1st party game that uses near field communication (NFC)

15) Batman: Arkham Asylum gets new features/content on the tablet

16) Darksiders II gets new features/content on the tablet

17) 3DS Castlevania is shown

18) Hi-def Zelda compilation on Wii U

19) DS titles in the Wii U's virtual console

20) GameCube titles in the Wii U's virtual console

21) Wii Motion+ and Nunchuk bundled with every Wii U

22) User created content highlighted for future Wii U games

23) DLC and patching capability from launch

24) Monster Games bring a new racer

25) Wii U/3DS connectivity is demonstrated

26) Netflix/Hulu services highlighted for tablet and TV

27) A brand new 'evergreen' casual game for the 3DS

28) WIi U Fit

29) Wii U to launch in November

30) Mario Kart Wii U teaser

31) US version of Professor Layton vs Ace Attorney shown!

32) Epic Mickey 2 gets Wii U version

33) Tablet controller can be used as eBook reader

34) Reggie actually strikes Geoff Keighley, could be a playful tap




C) I guess it's possible... : 6 pts

01) The Wii U's operating system co-designed by Google

02) A secret feature of the Wii U hardware is revealed

03) Teaser trailer for Smash Bros. Wii U/3DS

04) Two tablets can be used at the same time

05) Valve game/services announced for Wii U

06) Wuhu Island is built into the console

07) Street Pass portable device for Wii U

08) Online system roughly equivalent to MS/Sony's machines

09) Exclusive new Resident Evil game for Wii U

10) Monolith Soft's new game is shown

11) GTA V

12) Wii U's price is announced as under $300

13) Wii U's price is announced as over $300

14) Dragon Quest X - hi-def Wii U version seen for the first time!

15) New teaser for an actual Wii U Zelda

16) Exclusive Final Fantasy 25th anniversary game for U/3DS

17) Wii U to feature achievements

18) Ability to transfer your Wii VC and WiiWare titles to the Wii U

19) Wiimote to have improved technology

20) Improved sensor bar

21) Nintendo introduces a brand new IP

22) Asynchronous multiplayer showcased in a new Nintendo published title

23) Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask remake for 3DS announced

24) WaveRace returns!

25) Crytek support

26) A new 3D Mario title from EAD Tokyo!

27) Design your own Mario levels with the tablet and share online

28) Official Nintendo hard drive for the Wii U

29) The tablet range is confirmed to be more than your living room

30) Wii U to launch before November

31) Eminem

32) Wii U's touchscreen to have tactile feedback

33) Retro's game playable on the showfloor!

34) Reggie dragon suplexes Geoff Keighley onto a balance board




D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Mario and Sonic platformer/adventure game!

02) Android Market for Wii U

03) 3DS Lite

04) Pokemon MMO

05) Some Nintendo games to be playable on non-Nintendo hardware

06) Square-Enix announces a Nintendo IP project

07) An online-centric 1st party game is announced

08) The return of F-Zero

09) Steam on Wii U

10) Eternal Darkness 2

11) Retro's game an original IP

12) Monster Hunter 4 - Quatro (or sequel) for Wii U

13) Vitality Sensor lives!

14) The show begins as Miyamoto plays the tablet like a keytar: Wii Music 2 - boom!

15) Actual Hideo Kojima support

16) Positive comments/confirmation of UE4 on Wii U

17) Wii U more than 2 times the power of current consoles

18) Chrono series returns!

19) Earthbound series returns! / Mother 3 official release

20) Geoff Keighley disappears in mysterious circumstances, Reggie has 'convenient' alibi




Optional Bonus Prediction:

For an extra 10 points, you can predict a 1st party 3DS or Wii U game . For instance: Super Mario Universe Wii U.


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GOOD LUCK!

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Posted: 05/31/12, 17:13:53  - Edited by 
 on: 06/04/12, 01:36:46
[ Share ]
 
 
He has no spreadsheet software? Hook him up how stache? he could always just download OpenOffice
Posted: 06/03/12, 05:44:49
@DrFinkelstein

No, like with a file, not the software. Once he gets his hand on an Excel file with some functions, he'll never go back!
Posted: 06/03/12, 06:44:14
@Mr_Mustache

Ah! I'm not savvy enough to produce that. Hopefully someone else is.
Posted: 06/03/12, 06:53:51
I could do that. I'm a spreadsheet god.

Heck I think I'll draw one up at work tomorrow. As long as IW is capable of reading an .xls file all should be well, I can email it to him.

All he will have to do is enter Y or N into the master list of predictions and everything will calculate for everyone automatically. It will be glorious!

EDIT: Actually I'll do it now. I can tap into my company network from here and use the server copy.
Posted: 06/03/12, 07:13:40  - Edited by 
 on: 06/03/12, 07:15:06
@Shadowlink

I was thinking more of putting '1' in each appropriate cell for someone, and then across the X axis the point value (to be added later), either a "2" or a "-2" where applicable, and so forth. This'd tabulate the score that way with functions and stuff. Is your way more efficient?
Posted: 06/03/12, 07:19:54
@Mr_Mustache

I don't know. I usually design this stuff as I go.

What I *was* going to do was two sheets: One master list of predictions that we simply indicate if they were true or not.

A second sheet which was just a list of people down the side and the prediction numbers along the top. Enter a 1 in the relevant cells for every prediction a person makes (That way you don't have to check if it's true or not, and we can start entering peoples guesses in NOW. Then I write a master formula which cross-references those predictions with the master list, multiplies accordingly and spits out a score.

And I was going to indicate a total line at the bottom to indicate the popularity of each prediction.

EDIT: Actually I think I'm going to have to do a linked mirror of that second sheet but with the point values from each prediction calculated individually. Otherwise trying to calculate the total at the end will require a ginormous mess of a nested formula. Screw that.
Posted: 06/03/12, 07:47:08  - Edited by 
 on: 06/03/12, 07:49:43
A) Most Likely : 2pts


02) Wii U is the name, deal with it

03) Reggie, Miyamoto, Iwata present

04) Nintendo emphasizes "deep" support for the gaming core

05) Wii U's final tablet design is what we saw on the twitter leak

06) Clickable sticks

09) No specs

10) No price

11) The Wii U's technical power isn't measured against the 360/PS3 in a precise way

12) Pikmin 3 trailer!

13) New Super Mario Bros. Wii 2 (or NSMB Mii) for launch

14) No mention of Zelda Wii U

15) No mention of Unreal 4 Engine

16) High profile 3rd party ports showcase the tablet controller

17) Luigi's Mansion 2 gets a release date

18) Animal Crossing 3DS gets a release date

19) Paper Mario 3DS gets a release date

20) Fire Emblem: Awakening gets a release date

21) New 3DS color/s

22) Conference ends with a surprise Wii U title

23) Pikmin 3 playable

25) New Super Mario Bros. Mii playable on show floor

26) Reggie looks like he wants to slap Geoff Keighley after a stupid question




B) Maybe : 4pts

01) Wii U to have a pack-in game

02) Call of Duty: Black Ops 2 for Wii U I'm sure it will, but I'm not sure if we'll hear about this at E3 given CoD and MS deal with early exclusivity and all that.

03) Retro's new project is shown/trailered!

05) Wii U Sports!

06) Resident Evil 6 for Wii U

07) High profile 3rd party ports demonstrate graphical superiority over 360/PS3

08) Pikmin 3 to be a launch title

09) Killer Freaks to be a launch title

15) Batman: Arkham Asylum gets new features/content on the tablet

16) Darksiders II gets new features/content on the tablet

17) 3DS Castlevania is shown

20) GameCube titles in the Wii U's virtual console

23) DLC and patching capability from launch

25) Wii U/3DS connectivity is demonstrated

29) Wii U to launch in November

32) Epic Mickey 2 gets Wii U version




C) I guess it's possible... : 6 pts

04) Two tablets can be used at the same time

08) Online system roughly equivalent to MS/Sony's machines

11) GTA V

17) Wii U to feature achievements

18) Ability to transfer your Wii VC and WiiWare titles to the Wii U

23) Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask remake for 3DS announced



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

17) Wii U more than 2 times the power of current consoles Seeing as how 2x the power of the 360/PS3 isn't actually all that much technically, then yeah this is definite.



Optional Bonus Prediction:

Star Fox is shown
Posted: 06/03/12, 09:03:05
And the sheet is done! I've included a count formula which will indicate the number of people who predicted any given prediction, so we can have some fun with that data too. The calculation formulas are all in the background sheet which cant be touched. All that needs to be done is to insert someones name on the side, and go across putting X's in the relevant boxes. And the whole thing is linked to the main prediction chart which will be updated as per IW's judgement at the end of E3.
The bonus prediction was a little trickier, as that has to be indicated on an individual basis. But I included a Y/N section for that at the end, which will generate the appropriate modifier for the final score.

And now I've locked it all up so no-one can mess with my precious formulas :D.

IW, do you have access to Excel at all? If so PM me your E-mail addy and I can send you the workbook. All you have to do is insert the data, the formulas should do the rest.


I could insert some peoples guesses now I guess...but I'm lazy. .

EDIT: Aww hell. I kind of decided to start putting stuff in.....and right off the bat I notice some people (Mikey) have TWO bonus predictions. I thought we were supposed to predict one game for either platform not one on each? IW can you clarify? I've only designed the sheet for the one bonus prediction, not two.
Posted: 06/03/12, 11:22:48  - Edited by 
 on: 06/03/12, 11:28:37
You're allowed one bonus prediction, either Wii U or 3DS (or Wii I guess!) if anyone has two I'll just take the first one.


Guys, thanks for the suggestions and help with the idea of using spreadsheet.

@Shadowlink, cool! Thanks for making a sheet for me! I'll PM my email address. I don't have Excel but maybe there's some freeware spreadsheet software that would read the file. I'll have a look on download.com. :)
Posted: 06/03/12, 12:48:23
@Infinitywave

OpenOffice should, like I mentioned above. It's free.
Posted: 06/03/12, 15:16:17
A) 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 11 (an honestly why would you, any half decent PC with processors from two years ago can do a lot more), 12, 13, 14, 16-19, 22, 23

B) 1, 26

C) 12

D)

11) Retro's game an original IP
17) Wii U more than 2 times the power of current consoles
Posted: 06/03/12, 17:34:17
A 2,3,4,5,6,8,11,12,14,15,16,18,22,26

B 6, 15, 29

C 4, 8

D 17

Thanks for doing this!

S
Posted: 06/03/12, 20:45:20
A) 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 22, 23, 25, 26

B) 2, 3, 5, 9, 11, 13, 15, 21, 23, 26, 29, 33
Posted: 06/03/12, 21:24:22
Wait, what does the winner get? A VC/WiiWare game of their choice, or is it just an XP boost like previous years?
Posted: 06/03/12, 22:09:12
Is there a way to set up a spreadsheet so that depending on the amount of decimal places I type in, it will then change it to a high and low range?

So for all 0.00 spaces, it's +/- .10 or a 5.4 would then present me with a 5.65 and a 5.15?
Posted: 06/03/12, 23:20:49
@DrFinkelstein

Umm...I'm not *quite* sure what you're getting at, let me see if I understand properly. You mean that depending on number of decimal places present the range variance would change? Like in your example you've got +/- 0.1 for round values, and +/- 0.25 for values to 1DP?

Hmm. There *might* be a function that would do a character count after the decimal point, and spit out a result. From there it would have to check the result in a lookup table to find the appropriate modifier. I'd have to look into it more.

...Assuming I understand your question properly .

(PS Did you get my PM from yesterday?)
Posted: 06/03/12, 23:37:16
Clickable stiiiiiiiiicks.
Posted: 06/04/12, 01:50:18
A) Most Likely : 2pts

01) Pre-show music = Wii will, Wii will, Rock U
03) Reggie, Miyamoto, Iwata present
07) Analog triggers
08) The Wii U's North American release date will be announced
10) No price
11) The Wii U's technical power isn't measured against the 360/PS3 in a precise way
13) New Super Mario Bros. Wii 2 (or NSMB Mii) for launch
14) No mention of Zelda Wii U
16) High profile 3rd party ports showcase the tablet controller
18) Animal Crossing 3DS gets a release date
19) Paper Mario 3DS gets a release date
21) New 3DS color/s
22) Conference ends with a surprise Wii U title
25) New Super Mario Bros. Mii playable on show floor



B) Maybe : 4pts

01) Wii U to have a pack-in game
03) Retro's new project is shown/trailered!
04) BioShock Infinite for Wii U
05) Wii U Sports!
07) High profile 3rd party ports demonstrate graphical superiority over 360/PS3
15) Batman: Arkham Asylum gets new features/content on the tablet
19) DS titles in the Wii U's virtual console
20) GameCube titles in the Wii U's virtual console
21) Wii Motion+ and Nunchuk bundled with every Wii U
23) DLC and patching capability from launch
25) Wii U/3DS connectivity is demonstrated
26) Netflix/Hulu services highlighted for tablet and TV
28) WIi U Fit
29) Wii U to launch in November
30) Mario Kart Wii U teaser
32) Epic Mickey 2 gets Wii U version
33) Tablet controller can be used as eBook reader



C) I guess it's possible... : 6 pts

03) Teaser trailer for Smash Bros. Wii U/3DS
04) Two tablets can be used at the same time
06) Wuhu Island is built into the console
07) Street Pass portable device for Wii U
08) Online system roughly equivalent to MS/Sony's machines
09) Exclusive new Resident Evil game for Wii U
15) New teaser for an actual Wii U Zelda
16) Exclusive Final Fantasy 25th anniversary game for U/3DS
17) Wii U to feature achievements
18) Ability to transfer your Wii VC and WiiWare titles to the Wii U
19) Wiimote to have improved technology
20) Improved sensor bar
21) Nintendo introduces a brand new IP
22) Asynchronous multiplayer showcased in a new Nintendo published title
26) A new 3D Mario title from EAD Tokyo!
27) Design your own Mario levels with the tablet and share online
28) Official Nintendo hard drive for the Wii U
29) The tablet range is confirmed to be more than your living room
31) Eminem
33) Retro's game playable on the showfloor!
34) Reggie dragon suplexes Geoff Keighley onto a balance board




D) MEGATON : 10 pts

02) Android Market for Wii U
05) Some Nintendo games to be playable on non-Nintendo hardware
09) Steam on Wii U
11) Retro's game an original IP
12) Monster Hunter 4 - Quatro (or sequel) for Wii U
13) Vitality Sensor lives!
16) Positive comments/confirmation of UE4 on Wii U
17) Wii U more than 2 times the power of current consoles
19) Earthbound series returns! / Mother 3 official release
20) Geoff Keighley disappears in mysterious circumstances, Reggie has 'convenient' alibi
Posted: 06/04/12, 22:37:57
LAST MINUTE ENTRY!!! Didn't vote on the greyed out ones.

A) Most Likely : 2pts
03) Reggie, Miyamoto, Iwata present
04) Nintendo emphasizes "deep" support for the gaming core
07) Analog triggers
08) The Wii U's North American release date will be announced
09) No specs
10) No price
11) The Wii U's technical power isn't measured against the 360/PS3 in a precise way
12) Pikmin 3 trailer!
13) New Super Mario Bros. Wii 2 (or NSMB Mii) for launch
14) No mention of Zelda Wii U
15) No mention of Unreal 4 Engine
16) High profile 3rd party ports showcase the tablet controller
17) Luigi's Mansion 2 gets a release date
18) Animal Crossing 3DS gets a release date
19) Paper Mario 3DS gets a release date
21) New 3DS color/s
22) Conference ends with a surprise Wii U title
25) New Super Mario Bros. Mii playable on show floor
26) Reggie looks like he wants to slap Geoff Keighley after a stupid question

B) Maybe : 4pts
01) Wii U to have a pack-in game
03) Retro's new project is shown/trailered!
05) Wii U Sports!
07) High profile 3rd party ports demonstrate graphical superiority over 360/PS3
08) Pikmin 3 to be a launch title
11) An original 3DS Zelda game!
13) Retro is making Metroid Prime 4 (or other pure Metroid game)
14) Nintendo shows a 1st party game that uses near field communication (NFC)
15) Batman: Arkham Asylum gets new features/content on the tablet
16) Darksiders II gets new features/content on the tablet
17) 3DS Castlevania is shown
20) GameCube titles in the Wii U's virtual console
23) DLC and patching capability from launch
26) Netflix/Hulu services highlighted for tablet and TV
27) A brand new 'evergreen' casual game for the 3DS
29) Wii U to launch in November
31) US version of Professor Layton vs Ace Attorney shown!

C) I guess it's possible... : 6 pts
02) A secret feature of the Wii U hardware is revealed
03) Teaser trailer for Smash Bros. Wii U/3DS
06) Wuhu Island is built into the consoleV
12) Wii U's price is announced as under $300
17) Wii U to feature achievements
18) Ability to transfer your Wii VC and WiiWare titles to the Wii U
20) Improved sensor bar
21) Nintendo introduces a brand new IP
22) Asynchronous multiplayer showcased in a new Nintendo published title
33) Retro's game playable on the showfloor!

D) MEGATON : 10 pts
07) An online-centric 1st party game is announced

BONUS:
Starfox Wii U!
Posted: 06/05/12, 17:34:22
Disqualified! No actually if anyone else still wants to get in their predictions in the next half hour that's totally cool!!
Posted: 06/05/12, 18:25:46
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