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"Not E3" 2022 Predict-a-ton!
 
To start things off, I must apologize for the lateness on this game’s release. With E3 officially dead, the whole cadence of the month has been a bit off. As of this post, Nintendo hasn’t even announced they’re doing anything at this time frame. However after watching some of the other presentations, I realized we should still give it a shot in case Nintendo surprises us with a Nintendo Direct on a very short notice. Thus, the ‘participation’ period for this year’s Predict-a-ton is from now until a Nintendo Direct starts, whether that’s this coming week or later. I sure hope they do one for Tuesday or Wednesday this week (which is my suspicion). I suppose there’s no harm in keeping the game alive until the next Direct, so long as I cancel out anything that ends up becoming determined ahead of time. So enough rambling, Let’s-a-go!

How To Play:
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Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A3, A6, B5, C9, D10…)

Make your choices in a prudent manner! Each category is more valuable but also becomes increasingly risky. A correct pick means you WIN those points. An incorrect pick means you LOSE those points. This means you might even end up with a negative score, but you may just succeed with the highest total instead!

Please post your predictions as soon as possible, as we simply don’t know when the next Nintendo Direct will be. It could be in 24 hours, 72 hours, or 4 weeks from now… but don’t wait!

It proves to vote early though as any statements that are confirmed ahead of the presentation will be locked and no-longer viable for new pickers.

This one's obvious but NO editing. Your initial vote is your final vote, so make it count!

For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. With this very non-standard year, this period will mean a standard Nintendo Direct and/or any Treehouse/sub-(but general) Directs that get announced during a core presentation. For example, if Nintendo had a Nintendo Direct on Tuesday, a Treehouse Live on Wednesday, and then announced an Indie-one next week, we wouldn’t finish tallying things until that last direct was finished.

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A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Mario Strikers: Battle League DLC Explained

02) New Mario Kart 8 Deluxe DLC Courses Coming In June

03) Bayonetta 3 Release Date confirmed

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Splatoon 3 Trailer

06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)


07) Advance Wars 1+2 Re-Boot Camp gets a new date

08) A new trailer for The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild’s Sequel

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 30 different games

10) Trailer for the Super Mario Bros. Movie Shown


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild gets an unveiled title and/or release date

02) Mario Party Superstars DLC Announced

03) Daisy confirmed for Mario Strikers: Battle League

04) SteamWorld-related Gaming News

05) Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope gets a Release Date

06) New Main-line Fire Emblem Game Revealed

07) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

08) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker and/or The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess get Switch Releases

09) Pokken Tournament 2 Unveiled

10) Additional Sports (besides Golf) coming to Nintendo Switch Sports


C) High risk : 6 pts

01) New 18+ Nintendo LEGO set unveiled

02) New Metroid Prime 4 Trailer

03) New improvements to the Nintendo Online App

04) Hollow Knight: Silk Song gets a release date

05) The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages/Seasons Remake Announced

06) Classic ‘Non-Nintendo’ franchise sees a Switch port

07) New Characters also coming as part of the Mario Kart 8 Deluxe Booster Course DLC

08) New ‘Mario-based’ RPG unveiled

09) Game which released over 18 months ago receives substantial new surprise DLC

10) New Themes for the Switch System


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Some kind of new special edition or promo Nintendo Switch hardware

02) Metroid Prime 4 confirmed for 2023

03) New core Super Mario title announced (platformer)

04) GameBoy Mini console is unveiled

05) Xbox Collaboration: New Banjo-Kazooie and/or Goldeneye Game

06) Super Mario Bros. 35 Returns from the dead!

07) Monolith Soft’s new IP Revealed

08) Animal Crossing DLC will continue!

09) Nintendo announces a cross-over promotion with either Fortnite or Fall Guys

10) Super Mario RPG hits the NSO Service

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Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game entry in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Banjo-Kazooie (via Microsoft), Donkey Kong, Duck Hunt, Earthbound, Eternal Darkness, Excite, F-Zero, Golden Sun, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, NES Remix, Nintendogs, Paper Mario, Pikmin, Professor Layton, Punch-Out!!, Rhythm Heaven, Ring Fit, Star Fox, Star Tropics, Wario Land, Wave Race, Wii Fit.

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GOOD LUCK!

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This year is once again expanded to a few places that aren’t NegativeWorld.org, so please post in this thread if you’re seeing this via that website. If you’re seeing this via Twitter, Discord, etc, just use the Google Forms. Thank you!

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Posted: 06/13/22, 02:13:36  - Edited by 
 on: 06/29/22, 03:54:52
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Certified Nintendo moment.
Posted: 06/25/22, 23:41:58
I feel bad for Fink if this isn't a general direct after all. How about bumping the predict-a-ton until the next one if that's the case?
Posted: 06/26/22, 13:43:18
@Infinitywave

As drawn out as this may be, my plan is to keep this live till the next mainline Nintendo Direct. And if news comes out in the not-so-mainline Nintendo Direct that closes any categories, then those simply close as if news leaked before a typical E3 Direct. So I still encourage people to make their guesses now as they may find themselves locked out of categories later.

If we never get a Nintendo Direct again then I'll be here keeping this thread alive long after everyone has left Negative World. lol

Though, damn Nintendo, this whole thing is cold-blooded.
Posted: 06/27/22, 14:53:31
Between 2020 and this year, it's becoming clear that the "June Direct" is contingent on there being an E3 to coincide with, and with no E3 Nintendo is just going to do whatever they feel like.
Posted: 06/27/22, 15:59:31
Posted: 06/27/22, 16:04:01
@TheBigG753

You betcha.

@Infinitywave

So it's official. Being 3rd-party focused, there's still plenty of categories that could go either way.

So I recommend people submit their full guesses and we'll see how this goes. Then we'll keep this live until the next true Nintendo Direct, lol.. whenever that is. Or any Nintendo Direct's in-between. But if things are unveiled before you get to voice your vote, then you cannot vote for those.

That means this year's a bit interesting. For example, Mario + Rabbids' sequel may see a release date in this direct, or the main direct whenever that is. It's almost like 2x the chances on that one.
Posted: 06/27/22, 18:26:02  - Edited by 
 on: 06/27/22, 18:26:53
pokepal148 said:
I'm going to rub some salt in the wound and predict that there will not be a June Direct.
Does this mean I win the predictathon?
Posted: 06/27/22, 21:22:54
I stand by every one of my predictions.
Posted: 06/27/22, 22:48:58
A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Mario Strikers: Battle League DLC Explained
02) New Mario Kart 8 Deluxe DLC Courses Coming In June
04) New amiibo revealed
05) Splatoon 3 Trailer
06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)
07) Advance Wars 1+2 Re-Boot Camp gets a new date
08) A new trailer for The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild’s Sequel
09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 30 different games
10) Trailer for the Super Mario Bros. Movie Shown


B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild gets an unveiled title and/or release date
05) Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope gets a Release Date

C) High risk : 6 pts

02) New Metroid Prime 4 Trailer
03) New improvements to the Nintendo Online App
05) The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages/Seasons Remake Announced
08) New ‘Mario-based’ RPG unveiled


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Some kind of new special edition or promo Nintendo Switch hardware
02) Metroid Prime 4 confirmed for 2023
05) Xbox Collaboration: New Banjo-Kazooie and/or Goldeneye Game
10) Super Mario RPG hits the NSO Service

I don't know how this is going to interact with this Not-Direct, at this point I'm going to view this as an attempt to manifest things I want. Also predicting this is just a fakeout for a bigger direct soon after
Posted: 06/28/22, 01:24:13
Thanks for taking the time to put these together, DrFinkelstein!

I had a bad feeling there wouldn't be a Direct this month, but I might as well fill this out now in case anything of note happens in the mini.

A) Expected : 2 pts

03) Bayonetta 3 Release Date confirmed

04) New amiibo revealed

06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)

07) Advance Wars 1+2 Re-Boot Camp gets a new date

08) A new trailer for The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild’s Sequel

09) Nintendo’s core presentation features over 30 different games


B) Rumored : 4 pts

03) Daisy confirmed for Mario Strikers: Battle League

05) Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope gets a Release Date

07) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

10) Additional Sports (besides Golf) coming to Nintendo Switch Sports


C) High risk : 6 pts

02) New Metroid Prime 4 Trailer

06) Classic ‘Non-Nintendo’ franchise sees a Switch port


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

02) Metroid Prime 4 confirmed for 2023

03) New core Super Mario title announced (platformer)

10) Super Mario RPG hits the NSO Service

---------

Playing it fairly safe I s'pose!
Posted: 06/28/22, 02:23:46
I don’t expect we’ll see a proper direct until September or so, but still, predictions are always a blast. Like everybody else said, thanks so much for putting this together again, Fink!

A) Expected : 2 pts

03) Bayonetta 3 Release Date confirmed
05) Splatoon 3 Trailer
06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)
07) Advance Wars 1+2 Re-Boot Camp gets a new date
08) A new trailer for The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild’s Sequel

B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild gets an unveiled title and/or release date
04) SteamWorld-related Gaming News
05) Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope gets a Release Date
10) Additional Sports (besides Golf) coming to Nintendo Switch Sports

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

04) GameBoy Mini console is unveiled
10) Super Mario RPG hits the NSO Service

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

Wario Land, Wave Race
Posted: 06/28/22, 15:34:04
A) Expected : 2 pts

03) Bayonetta 3 Release Date confirmed
05) Splatoon 3 Trailer
06) Two or more new Nintendo-exclusive Nindies announced (timed exclusive OK)
07) Advance Wars 1+2 Re-Boot Camp gets a new date
08) A new trailer for The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild’s Sequel

B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild gets an unveiled title and/or release date
05) Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope gets a Release Date
07) Nintendo Switch Online adds a New Console type

C) High risk : 6 pts

04) Hollow Knight: Silk Song gets a release date
06) Classic ‘Non-Nintendo’ franchise sees a Switch port
09) Game which released over 18 months ago receives substantial new surprise DLC

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

05) Xbox Collaboration: New Banjo-Kazooie and/or Goldeneye Game
09) Nintendo announces a cross-over promotion with either Fortnite or Fall Guys

=-=--=-=-=-=-=--=-=-=-=

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

Donkey Kong
Posted: 06/28/22, 15:46:07
I have to review this direct again but I know some of these things have been announced. So if you still want to throw your votes around for the next true direct, some items are no longer available.
Posted: 06/29/22, 03:48:16
Man, Nintendo have been kind of randomly tossing a lot of stuff out since the Partner Direct! Bayonetta 3, Kirby Party Till You Puke, new Xenoblade 3 trailer, Mario & Rabbids (Ubisoft, but still), Switch Sports Update...

Why the hell didn't they just make a General Direct? Maybe some key game got delayed? Or maybe they wanted to have people focus on those third-party games? I guess they didn't want Kirby to suck all the air out of the room!

Y'know... 'cause he's Kirby!!
Posted: 07/19/22, 05:21:18  - Edited by 
 on: 07/19/22, 05:23:07
@Anand

To be fair, "real" Directs also take a ton of work. They may have just felt like putting that money and time elsewhere, who knows. I'd have preferred it in a full Direct, but still glad we have been getting random announcements and stuff regardless!
Posted: 07/21/22, 22:39:43
@J.K. Riki
Yeah, ultimately I don't care. It's just nice to have a package of announcements to anticipate and consume at once. But Nintendo probably IS giving their most rabid/online fans some form of anxiety. What will the next eight Mario Kart courses be? WHEN will they be?

Anyway, like a bird flying overhead, they're still randomly dropping stuff. Daisy!
Posted: 07/23/22, 05:58:10
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