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--E3 Predict-a-ton Challenge 2015 is now open!--
 



♪ You're a virtual tiger on the back of a big lion, that is riding a falcon, that is flying through fire ♪


It's Christmas in June. Tuesday the 16th at 9am PST! What's gonna happen? What news will emerge from this year's Nintendo Digital Event, Treehouse Live and the E3 show floor and will it explode with the fury of 1000 Iwata bombs or be a damp squid? Squib. Damp squib. (sorry, too much Splatoon)


Enter the 2015 Predict-a-ton where you predict megatons and win probably nothing*

*but maybe a trophy?

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How To Play:
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Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A2, A3, A7, B1, C10...)

But choose wisely! These predictions are more valuable as they become increasingly risky. Correct picks WIN you points, but incorrect picks LOSE you points.

Will you get more than a negative score? Many have tried and failed. Last year's winner was our Lord and master Zero with a record breaking +62 points.


Please post your predictions by the end of June 15th.


No editing.


Any statements that are officially confirmed in advance of the presentation will be grayed out and you won't be able to pick them after that, so it might help to get your guesses in early.


For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the doors close at the end of day 3.




A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

03) Robot Chicken and Mega64 contribute to the Digital Event

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

06) No Zelda trailer

07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

04) Pokken Fighters coming to Wii U

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction

08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8

09) Other Nintendo IP coming to Splatoon

10) Amiibo-centric retail game



C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

04) New project from the Nintendo Garage

05) New console RPG

06) Pokemon Z

07) Major new 3rd party game for Wii U

08) A new Wii branded game (Sports/Party etc.)

09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.

10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

03) Tokyo EAD trailer

04) Mother 3

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

06) Pokemon amiibo series

07) E3 demos on the eShop

08) A new type of amiibo

09) New Hardware (accessory/add-on/...)

10) NX info slips out



Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Excite, F-Zero, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Metroid, Pokemon Snap, Punch-Out!!, Star Tropics, Wario, Waverace.


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GOOD LUCK!

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06/09/15, 20:57    Edited: 06/14/15, 19:33
 
   
 
@Pokefreak911

Those could work with the 3DS game though somehow. I don't know. I'm trying not to think about it.
06/15/15, 09:45   
@Mr_Mustache

Nice, me, you and Conzo might be in the clear either way then.
06/15/15, 10:18   
Mr Game & Watch looks like a one off. The different bodies are to make up for his simple appearance, I don't strictly see it as a whole new type of amiibo, like the cards and plushes.

We can argue this after everything has happened, who knows what else will pop up. Just remember I'm Judge Judy and Executioner.
06/15/15, 14:30   
Final bump! Last call for predictions.
06/16/15, 03:24   
Talk about last minute:

A

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

06) No Zelda trailer

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction

08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8




C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

04) Mother 3

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

06) Pokemon amiibo series

08) A new type of amiibo


Bonus: Metroid
06/16/15, 18:57   
Hm, this may not have been the best year to play it as "safe" as I did.
06/16/15, 20:44   
I think I did pretty well this year. Assuming we're loose with the definition of 'New Metroid" . I guess IW will judge that.

But a lot of people predicted Metroid, so it might not be enough.
06/17/15, 01:48   
I think I bastardized my counting but I think as of right now (and I know there's more to see) I would have had 12 points had the cancelled items not been removed from play but without them I'm at Net 0. Could be wrong though and it depends on D1's definition.
06/17/15, 03:33   
@Shadowlink Yeah, the lack of predicting Metroid is what has really hurt me, otherwise I may have a chance. But now, I'll be below everyone who chose Metroid.
06/17/15, 03:34   
DrFink', you made your predictions before anything was locked so they still stand. It's just to stop anyone predicting things after they've been confirmed true/false.

Yeah, Metroid was a big scorer. Even if it's not the Metroid anyone here wanted. :p
06/17/15, 03:57   
@Infinitywave

Oh! Well then my score which is low isn't AS low, lol. Okay. That changes my understanding of this game.
06/17/15, 04:03   
God damnit that Metroid counts? Ug.

I played it a bit more conservative than usual but I am still pretty certain I failed hard.
06/17/15, 04:10   
@Zero

There are TWO Metroids, what do you want?!
06/17/15, 18:44   
Surely those Skylander amiibos count as a new amiibo type.
06/18/15, 00:36   
Jargon said:
Surely those Skylander amiibos count as a new amiibo type.
If not, the 8-bit Mario should.
06/18/15, 00:41   
Yeah, the Skylander figures are sort of an amiibo/Skylander transforming thing, so I'd count 'em.

I did alright this year. Especially since NX info did indeed slip out...right? The whole Metroid thing?
06/18/15, 00:49   
Noooooooo.

I just dug out my spreadsheet from last year and started tossing in preliminary results (subject to change via IW's final judgement of course)...and I think I may have *just* been pipped at the post by one person here.

I'll let IW make that calculation and announcement though.

*shakes fist*
06/18/15, 01:42   
Jargon said:
Surely those Skylander amiibos count as a new amiibo type.

They surely do!

Shadowlink said:
I just dug out my spreadsheet from last year and started tossing in preliminary results (subject to change via IW's final judgement of course)...and I think I may have *just* been pipped at the post by one person here.

Gonna be close! You never know how one final piece of news will tip the balance.
06/18/15, 03:12   
@Infinitywave

Not for me!

Nearly every point of difference with my closest competitor seems to be running against me. Sigh.

Still, I'm generally pleased with how I went.
06/18/15, 04:28   
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