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--E3 Predict-a-ton Challenge 2015 is now open!--
 



♪ You're a virtual tiger on the back of a big lion, that is riding a falcon, that is flying through fire ♪


It's Christmas in June. Tuesday the 16th at 9am PST! What's gonna happen? What news will emerge from this year's Nintendo Digital Event, Treehouse Live and the E3 show floor and will it explode with the fury of 1000 Iwata bombs or be a damp squid? Squib. Damp squib. (sorry, too much Splatoon)


Enter the 2015 Predict-a-ton where you predict megatons and win probably nothing*

*but maybe a trophy?

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How To Play:
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Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A2, A3, A7, B1, C10...)

But choose wisely! These predictions are more valuable as they become increasingly risky. Correct picks WIN you points, but incorrect picks LOSE you points.

Will you get more than a negative score? Many have tried and failed. Last year's winner was our Lord and master Zero with a record breaking +62 points.


Please post your predictions by the end of June 15th.


No editing.


Any statements that are officially confirmed in advance of the presentation will be grayed out and you won't be able to pick them after that, so it might help to get your guesses in early.


For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the doors close at the end of day 3.




A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

03) Robot Chicken and Mega64 contribute to the Digital Event

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

06) No Zelda trailer

07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

04) Pokken Fighters coming to Wii U

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction

08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8

09) Other Nintendo IP coming to Splatoon

10) Amiibo-centric retail game



C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

04) New project from the Nintendo Garage

05) New console RPG

06) Pokemon Z

07) Major new 3rd party game for Wii U

08) A new Wii branded game (Sports/Party etc.)

09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.

10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

03) Tokyo EAD trailer

04) Mother 3

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

06) Pokemon amiibo series

07) E3 demos on the eShop

08) A new type of amiibo

09) New Hardware (accessory/add-on/...)

10) NX info slips out



Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Excite, F-Zero, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Metroid, Pokemon Snap, Punch-Out!!, Star Tropics, Wario, Waverace.


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GOOD LUCK!

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Posted: 06/09/15, 20:57:43  - Edited by 
 on: 06/14/15, 19:33:18
[ Share ]
 
 
A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced


C) High risk: 6 pts

01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game

03) Something new from Retro Studios

10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U



D) MEGATON : 10 pts

05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP

Bonus: Excite

====

I'm gonna go against the grain and say Metroid will not be there. Also, IW can you clarify "different" Nintendo IP? Does that mean it can't be Mario Strikers, Punch out or Luigi's Mansion?
Posted: 06/11/15, 19:40:17
Love, love, love this contest. Happy E3 everyone!

--

A) Expected : 2pts

01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
07) Devil's Third 2015 release date
08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

B) Rumored : 4pts
01) StarFox playable
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year

C) High risk: 6 pts
03) Something new from Retro Studios

D) MEGATON : 10 pts
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP
Posted: 06/11/15, 22:04:50
anon_mastermind said:

I'm gonna go against the grain and say Metroid will not be there. Also, IW can you clarify "different" Nintendo IP? Does that mean it can't be Mario Strikers, Punch out or Luigi's Mansion?

Yes, that's exactly what I meant. A Nintendo IP that Next Level hasn't tackled before. (although if it was a Mario game other than Strikers or Mansion, I guess that would be considered different enough too, so Mario Fry Cook U would be allowed :p )
Posted: 06/11/15, 23:27:31
Thanks to everyone who's playing! Here's mine.


A1, A2, A3, A4, A5, A6, A7, A8, A9, A10

B1, B2, B5, B6, B7, B9

C1, C3, C4, C7, C9

D1, D3
Posted: 06/12/15, 00:20:28
A: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10

B: 3, 5, 6, 7, 9

C: 7, 10

D: N/A

Bonus: Punch-Out!!
Posted: 06/13/15, 07:18:41
Locked out A7 and C9.
Posted: 06/13/15, 12:10:22
@Infinitywave

Spoilers

Not that there was really a better way to handle it I guess
Posted: 06/13/15, 13:54:08  - Edited by 
 on: 06/13/15, 13:54:48
@Jargon

I'm going to ignore looking at what those two meant, as I don't recall now. Maybe I should just avoid the boards till tomorrow night and then again until Tuesday night. I prefer when I see big news from Nintendo itself. Leaks and all that kind of annoy me.
Posted: 06/13/15, 16:09:35
Huh, I thought I chose C9. Bummer!
Posted: 06/13/15, 21:58:43
01) Mario Maker dated for this year

02) Star Fox trailer

04) New DLC announced

05) New amiibo revealed

07) Devil's Third 2015 release date

08) Western name for Fire Emblem If

09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo



B) Rumored : 4pts

01) StarFox playable

03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive

05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced

06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year



C) High risk: 6 pts

06) Pokemon Z

09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.


D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Brand new Metroid

02) Zelda trailer - psyche!

04) Mother 3




Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)

Metroid
Posted: 06/13/15, 22:13:57
Hey hey hey..

A: 1,2,4,5,9,10
B: 3, 5, 6, 7
C: 3
Posted: 06/14/15, 05:38:33
These all seem very pedestrian. Even the "High Risk" and "Megaton" seem safe, just what's been buzzing on twitter and such. That said, I'll guess-

A01, A02, A09, A10

A06 because if they went back on that it would basically mean whatever big thing they had in place of Zelda was cancelled or otherwise not ready, so they'd have to fall back on Zelda to fill the gap.

B01, B04, B06
C03, C05, C07
D09 .

Along with a few of my own. Some just being specific on previous guesses, some just extrapolating from various reports from devs, pubs, and journos alike.

Info on Project Treasure
Info on SMTxFE
Announcement of TW102 or Bayonetta 3, Wii U Exclusive
Announcement of TW101 Spinoff with "Real Graphic" or Bayonetta "Jeanne Spinoff" for 3DS
Announcement of Street Fighter Alpha 4, EX4, or something similar for Wii U and/or 3DS.
Reveal of another previously unknown 3rd Party collab.

IMO it'd be a Streisandish move to sell Mother 3 on one or both eShops after Nintendo basically came out and said, "Go ahead, pirate the game and play the translation patch for free, we're not going to have it taken down or anything". They'd be suddenly saying "Y'know what? No, suddenly we're going to re-claim and protect that IP, Mother 3 is not free and we're selling it for money. Give us money for that thing that we just said was free a while ago." I'm pretty sure most of the people trying to egg Nintendo on to put Mother 3 up for sale, are just waiting with pitchforks and torches in hand to run another "Boycott the Wii U" movement the moment it happens.
Posted: 06/14/15, 13:24:02
Locked out A4, A5, B5 thanks to the Smash Direct. ^__^
Posted: 06/14/15, 19:33:41
Those are ones I chose, woohoo!

...Though everyone else probably did too...
Posted: 06/14/15, 22:34:24
@Infinitywave

D8 too! Game & Watch's swappable Amiibo type!
Posted: 06/15/15, 00:41:19
Jargon said:
@Infinitywave

D8 too! Game & Watch's swappable Amiibo type!

@Jargon, hmm, have to consider that... it's slightly new, but is it really a new 'type' of amiibo?
Posted: 06/15/15, 02:54:39  - Edited by 
 on: 06/15/15, 03:14:44
Infinitywave said:
Jargon said:
@Infinitywave

D8 too! Game & Watch's swappable Amiibo type!

@Jargon, hmm, have to consider that... it's slightly new, but is it really a new 'type' of amiibo?

I took "New type of Amiibo" as something like "the Cards" or even "Splatoon." Or, I guess, something "NEW" we haven't even considered.
Posted: 06/15/15, 08:57:49
I took the prediction as something physically different from previous amiibos, not just new figurines for a different series. The cards or the plush Yoshis would have qualified had they been originally unveiled at E3 but now another card based or plush amiibo wouldn't be a "new type".

Maybe I'm biased because I chose it, but I immediately thought of it as qualifying when I saw it because it's something completely different in a physical sense from previous amiibos in that you can change out the top and keep the base.

Maybe the question will be moot if they announce amiibo pogs or something during the conference, but this was the kind of thing I was thinking of when I predicted it so I hope it counts.

@Mr_Mustache

I certainly hadn't considered swappable amiibos before I saw it.
Posted: 06/15/15, 09:07:16
@Jargon

Well, you certainly have a case. And Super Punch-Out!! pogs from Nintendo Power are one of my favorite non-game Nintendo-themed acquisitions of all time.

EDIT- Leaky rumorish, beware? If these drop, case closed, no questions.
Posted: 06/15/15, 09:14:03  - Edited by 
 on: 06/15/15, 09:23:03
@Mr_Mustache
Well that sorta confirms a new Animal Crossing. Don't know why they would be getting their own line for a sideish type of game
Posted: 06/15/15, 09:32:22
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