♪ You're a virtual tiger on the back of a big lion, that is riding a falcon, that is flying through fire ♪
It's Christmas in June. Tuesday the 16th at 9am PST! What's gonna happen? What news will emerge from this year's Nintendo Digital Event, Treehouse Live and the E3 show floor and will it explode with the fury of 1000 Iwata bombs or be a damp squid? Squib. Damp squib. (sorry, too much Splatoon)
Enter the 2015 Predict-a-ton where you predict megatons and win probably nothing*
Here are four sets of statements. Pick all of them you think will come TRUE. (choose as many as you like eg. A2, A3, A7, B1, C10...)
But choose wisely! These predictions are more valuable as they become increasingly risky. Correct picks WIN you points, but incorrect picks LOSE you points.
Will you get more than a negative score? Many have tried and failed. Last year's winner was our Lord and master Zero with a record breaking +62 points.
Please post your predictions by the end of June 15th.
Any statements that are officially confirmed in advance of the presentation will be grayed out and you won't be able to pick them after that, so it might help to get your guesses in early.
For the purposes of this challenge, ALL information that comes out during the course of the show will be taken into account. That includes the Digital Event, Treehouse streaming, press meetings, online news... everything that happens before the doors close at the end of day 3.
A) Expected : 2pts
01) Mario Maker dated for this year
02) Star Fox trailer
03) Robot Chicken and Mega64 contribute to the Digital Event
04) New DLC announced
05) New amiibo revealed
06) No Zelda trailer
07) Devil's Third 2015 release date
08) Western name for Fire Emblem If
09) At least 2 new Wii U retail games from Nintendo
10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo
B) Rumored : 4pts
01) StarFox playable
02) Project Giant Robot and Project Guard are part of StarFox
03) A new NEW 3DS exclusive
04) Pokken Fighters coming to Wii U
05) New Smash Bros. character/s announced
06) Xenoblade Chronicles X dated for this year
07) A screen or concept art for Zelda's new direction
08) More DLC for Mario Kart 8
09) Other Nintendo IP coming to Splatoon
10) Amiibo-centric retail game
C) High risk: 6 pts
01) HD Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
02) 3D Remaster of a Zelda/Mario/Metroid game
03) Something new from Retro Studios
04) New project from the Nintendo Garage
05) New console RPG
06) Pokemon Z
07) Major new 3rd party game for Wii U
08) A new Wii branded game (Sports/Party etc.)
09) Ryu or Bayonetta for Smash Bros.
10) Animal Crossing / Paper Mario / Pikmin 4 Wii U
D) MEGATON : 10 pts
01) Brand new Metroid
02) Zelda trailer - psyche!
03) Tokyo EAD trailer
04) Mother 3
05) Next Level Games working on a different Nintendo IP
06) Pokemon amiibo series
07) E3 demos on the eShop
08) A new type of amiibo
09) New Hardware (accessory/add-on/...)
10) NX info slips out
Bonus Prediction: (OPTIONAL)
These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!
I'm gonna go against the grain and say Metroid will not be there. Also, IW can you clarify "different" Nintendo IP? Does that mean it can't be Mario Strikers, Punch out or Luigi's Mansion?
Yes, that's exactly what I meant. A Nintendo IP that Next Level hasn't tackled before. (although if it was a Mario game other than Strikers or Mansion, I guess that would be considered different enough too, so Mario Fry Cook U would be allowed :p )
I'm going to ignore looking at what those two meant, as I don't recall now. Maybe I should just avoid the boards till tomorrow night and then again until Tuesday night. I prefer when I see big news from Nintendo itself. Leaks and all that kind of annoy me.
These all seem very pedestrian. Even the "High Risk" and "Megaton" seem safe, just what's been buzzing on twitter and such. That said, I'll guess-
A01, A02, A09, A10
A06 because if they went back on that it would basically mean whatever big thing they had in place of Zelda was cancelled or otherwise not ready, so they'd have to fall back on Zelda to fill the gap.
B01, B04, B06 C03, C05, C07 D09 .
Along with a few of my own. Some just being specific on previous guesses, some just extrapolating from various reports from devs, pubs, and journos alike.
Info on Project Treasure Info on SMTxFE Announcement of TW102 or Bayonetta 3, Wii U Exclusive Announcement of TW101 Spinoff with "Real Graphic" or Bayonetta "Jeanne Spinoff" for 3DS Announcement of Street Fighter Alpha 4, EX4, or something similar for Wii U and/or 3DS. Reveal of another previously unknown 3rd Party collab.
IMO it'd be a Streisandish move to sell Mother 3 on one or both eShops after Nintendo basically came out and said, "Go ahead, pirate the game and play the translation patch for free, we're not going to have it taken down or anything". They'd be suddenly saying "Y'know what? No, suddenly we're going to re-claim and protect that IP, Mother 3 is not free and we're selling it for money. Give us money for that thing that we just said was free a while ago." I'm pretty sure most of the people trying to egg Nintendo on to put Mother 3 up for sale, are just waiting with pitchforks and torches in hand to run another "Boycott the Wii U" movement the moment it happens.
I took the prediction as something physically different from previous amiibos, not just new figurines for a different series. The cards or the plush Yoshis would have qualified had they been originally unveiled at E3 but now another card based or plush amiibo wouldn't be a "new type".
Maybe I'm biased because I chose it, but I immediately thought of it as qualifying when I saw it because it's something completely different in a physical sense from previous amiibos in that you can change out the top and keep the base.
Maybe the question will be moot if they announce amiibo pogs or something during the conference, but this was the kind of thing I was thinking of when I predicted it so I hope it counts.