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E3 2018 Predict-a-ton! RESULTS!!
June 16, 2018, 22:31:26
Nintendo once again showcasing a single game as their primary focus. This time it was the previously teased Super Smash Bros. Ultimate! Nobody could have guessed that Nintendo would bring back EVERY fighter in the expansive series. We also didn't expect Fox McCloud to show up in a 3rd party game nor a bunch of key titles to end up being no-shows. It was an E3 many didn't quite expect, for good or bad. This was E3 2018.

(check out LunarHalo24's other art by clicking this text!)

How did you predictions fare? Lets find out!


A) Expected : 2 pts

01) Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game

02) Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch’s Online Service

03) Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer

04) New amiibo revealed

05) Official Release Date for Splatoon 2’s Octo Expansion

06) New Nindies Announced (at least two)

07) Mario Tennis Aces to receive later DLC updates

08) New Joy-con Color(s)

09) At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo

10) At least 2 new 3DS retail games from Nintendo

B) Rumored : 4 pts

01) New 2D Mario revealed

02) Fortnite coming to Switch

03) Nintendo Online app gets overhaul

04) Star Fox: Grand Prix officially announced

05) Bayonetta 3 Details

06) New Main-line Animal Crossing Game Unveiled

07) The Wonderful 101 bring ported to Switch

08) N64 Classic Edition Debuts

09) Overcooked 2 Announced

10) New Super Mario Odyssey World(s) as DLC

C) High risk : 6 pts

01) Pikmin 4 Revealed

02) New Joy-con Type (i.e. True D-Pad, GameCube Joystick, Camera nub, etc)

03) Rabbids join as fighters in Super Smash Bros. Switch

04) New Themed Switch (console itself, may also include joy-cons)

05) Trailer for the new Pokemon (core series)

06) Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed

07) New Full-Roster amiibo planned for Super Smash Bros. Switch

08) E3 Demos on the eShop

09) Super Mario Maker 2 for Switch

10) Two new Labo kits announced!

D) MEGATON : 10 pts

01) Third-Pillar Platform Revealed

02) Pokemon amiibo series

03) Banjo-Kazooie in Super Smash Bros

04) Major Franchise Typically On PS/XB Coming To Switch (not Fortnite or Fallout)

05) Details for the next Zelda game

06) Native voice chat patched into Nintendo Switch

07) GB Classic Announced

08) ‘Mother 3’ Announced For Nintendo Online

09) Fallout franchise coming to Switch in some form

10) Nintendo obtains new 2nd Party Developer

Bonus Prediction : (OPTIONAL)

These franchises haven't seen a new game in a while. WIN or LOSE 50 points by picking one to be announced. Remember, this is optional!

Choose from: 1080 Snowboarding, Advance Wars, Eternal Darkness, Excite, F-Zero, Golden Sun, Ice Climbers, Kid Icarus, Mario Party, Pokemon Snap, Punch-Out!!, Rhythm Heaven, Star Tropics, Wario, Wave Race.


This year's winner happens to be the same as last year with the same amount of points.... (though last year he shared the throne)...

FIRST PLACE:Ploot: 34 pts

SECOND PLACE: Zero: 18 pts

Third Place: Mop_it_up: 12 pts

canonj: 0 pts

r_hjort: -2 pts
MrBiggsly: -2 pts
Pokefreak911: -10 pts
Brick: -12 pts
V_s: -14 pts
JK Riki: -18 pts
Smerd: -20 pts
Abdooooo: -24 pts
DrFinkelstein: -30 pts
ShadowLink: -32 pts
Cooliocuneo: -48 pts
Secret_Tunnel: -50 pts
TriforceBun: -60 pts
InfinityWave: -70 pts
TheOldManFromZelda: -82 pts
Ludist210: -98 pts
Anand: -112 pts

Overall there was quite a bit more negative scoring this year. The fact that nothing came from Section C really hurt the scores. There were quite a few votes for those and not a one came true. The most popular picks were for A01 - Super Smash Bros. for Switch is a BRAND NEW Smash game and A09 - At least 2 new Switch retail games from Nintendo. None of that is really a surprise as both were true. The most voted for categories that did NOT come true were A03 - Yoshi (for Switch) Trailer, A02 - Full Reveal of Nintendo Switch's Online Service, and C06 - Metroid Prime 4 Gameplay Revealed. Interesting for Nintendo to skip all three of those. We've since learned Yoshi was delayed but what about the other two things. The Nintendo Online service goes live in three months! I smell another Direct. Overall we had about 19% of users in the green this year. Nonetheless, everyone, thank you for participating! It's always a blast!

Have a great summer! Until next E3… see ya!

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Posted: 06/16/18, 22:31:26  - Edited by 
 on: 06/16/18, 22:47:34    
Why not sign up for a (free) account and create your own content?
I am officially the best of the worst!

Cheers for doing all this work! It's great!

Posted by 
 on: 06/16/18, 23:01:56
Happy to r_hjort! If anyone cares about the Non-Negative World results, check out my blog here. You might see a familiar face or two on there from Negative World but since they didn't post on here, they were counted in the Other group.

Other quick notes, on the upcoming podcast KrisWright might have been name-dropped as a low-scoring individual. I had a calculation error on his file (due to the Fire Emblem technicality) which gave him a much better score than I spoke of.

Also, Abdooooo's score is not reflective of his post in this thread. He posted on the Google Form first, then here, and when asked about it, he wanted to go with his original picks. That's why, in case anyone is wondering.

Posted by 
 on: 06/16/18, 23:18:17
4th place. Not bad!

Thanks for doing this!

Posted by 
 on: 06/16/18, 23:25:33

You're welcome! Thanks for thanking! And 4th, place, definitely not bad when you broke even! You're one-of-a-kind this year at Negative World and in a prestige club of non-Negative-Negative-Worlders! Congrats!

Posted by 
 on: 06/16/18, 23:27:03
And to think I thought I was being conservative this year...

Posted by 
 on: 06/16/18, 23:28:06
WOOOOOOOOOOO! Two in a row, suckaaaaaaas!!

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 02:44:35
FINALLY a year where I wasn't last. This new strategy of "basically just copy and paste the first two categories" is paying off!

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 02:50:13
Proud of myself for nabbing an even -50! Should've picked Mario Party instead of Wario...

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 03:41:03
That Mario Party prediction sure saved me.

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 03:47:21
Wow! I always suck at these, but... wow.

Ah, well. The second-most memorable position is last place. (Source: My ass.)

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 07:14:52
I'm just glad I beat Shadowlink. I also think this is the best I have done in these yet.

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 16:40:23
Yay! I suck but not as bad as a lot of you suckas!

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 17:00:13
Third place! Pretty sure that's my highest yet. Maybe even first one out of the red. I probably should have taken more risks and predicted Mario Party, I was actually thinking we were due for one but didn't commit. Oh well, hindsight and all that.

Thanks for putting this together DrFinkelstein, these are always fun!

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 20:34:55
Incidentally I went from being really bad at this to decently good and the secret is... make your list, then remove like half of it, because E3 never delivers what you want or expect.

Posted by 
 on: 06/17/18, 22:33:37  - Edited by 
 on: 06/17/18, 22:34:00
Damn. Like. Damn - I was fooled this year - maybe overly hopeful as my bids were not that risky but - yeah Nintendo really doing only one game hurt.

congrats Ploot!!

Posted by 
 on: 06/18/18, 01:43:10  - Edited by 
 on: 06/18/18, 01:46:06
Wow, I did horribly.

Posted by 
 on: 06/18/18, 20:39:01
@Zero That's about what I had done, myself. I put down only six guesses, five of which were correct. Seeing so many people going for broke made me wonder if I could win by just using the highly likely ones, hee hee.

Posted by 
 on: 06/18/18, 22:42:28
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